Result
1:0
28/07/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 20
- Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 286 | 287 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 190 | 167 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 115 | 94 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 46 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Mateus Carvalho 🟨,
- 35', Lucas Piton 🟨,
- 45+7', Pavon C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
- 46', Coutinho ↓, Payet D. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Soteldo Y. ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
- 68', Dodi 🟨,
- 69', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 69', David 🟨,
- 71', Maicon ↓, GB ↑,
- 71', Lucas Piton ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
- 73', Pavon C. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
- 79', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 83', Cristaldo F. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 89', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+4', Villasanti M. ↓, Fabio ↑,
- 90+4', Joao Pedro Galvao ↓, Nata ↑,
- 90+4', Dodi ↓, Pepe ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
44.2% | Draw
29% | Vasco da Gama
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grêmio - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.44) |
3.27 ↓
(3.38) |
3.53 ↑
(2.86) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.
- Recent matches Grêmio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Vasco is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Injury)
Costa D.
(Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Injury)
Lucas Mila
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Guilherme Estrella
(Injury)
Jair
(Injury)
Joao Victor
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Injury)
Payet D.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vasco da Gama?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Grêmio?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
14.04.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
2:1
03.12.2023
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
06.08.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
1:0
11.09.2022
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - Vasco da Gama?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Peru | L1 Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz |
