Result
17/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
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Chances of winning
São Paulo
57.7% | Draw
25.9% | Grêmio
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
São Paulo - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.65) |
3.66 ↑
(3.66) |
5.84 ↑
(5.5) |
5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Grêmio?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo
(Inactive)
Igor Vinicius
(Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Inactive)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Inactive)
Gustavo Martins
(Knee Injury)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
Pavon C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Igor Serrote
(Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Grêmio?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against São Paulo?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Grêmio were as follows:
01.12.2024
Grêmio
-
São Paulo
2:1
17.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
1:0
21.10.2023
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
3:0
04.06.2023
Grêmio
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Ceara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Bahia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Vasco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 14 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Gremio | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 18 | Juventude | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 7 |
| 19 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Grêmio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
