Result
16/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Grêmio
34% | Draw
30.4% | São Paulo
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Grêmio - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.71) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
2.69 ↓
(2.72) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São Paulo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against São Paulo?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Grêmio?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - São Paulo were as follows:
17.05.2025
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
2:1
01.12.2024
Grêmio
-
São Paulo
2:1
17.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
1:0
21.10.2023
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
3:0
04.06.2023
Grêmio
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - São Paulo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
