Grêmio vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Grêmio - Santos
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
Grêmio - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.47
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
80% (284/355)86% (371/430)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.04
Total shots
813
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
80% (284/355)86% (371/430)
Long passes
29% (12/41)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
61% (41/67)79% (103/130)
Crosses
14% (2/14)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.78
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1019
Tackles
86% (18/21)65% (17/26)
Duels won
5865
Clearances
3932
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.040.73
Goals prevented
0.04-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Luan Peres 🟨,
  • 10', Luisao 🟨,
  • 36', Igor Serrote 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Edenilson , Alysson ,
  • 48', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
  • 58', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
  • 61', Rollheiser B. , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 61', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 70', Cuellar G. , Camilo Reijers ,
  • 74', Deivid Washington , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 75', Escobar G. , Kevyson ,
  • 76', Rincon T. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Olivera C. ,
  • 83', Joao Schmidt , Mateus Xavier ,
  • 83', Luisao , Joao Pedro Chermont ,
  • 89', Braithwaite M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 89', Olivera C. , Viery ,
  • 90+3', Marlon 🟨,
  • 90+6', Edenilson 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio
42.2%
Draw
30.3%
Santos
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.9% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 29% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Grêmio - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.42)
    3.14
    (3.26)
    3.45
    (2.95)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Santos?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
    • Grêmio could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F. (Muscle Injury) Arezo M. (Muscle Injury) Gustavo Martins (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Injury) Villasanti M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Santos: Barreal A. (Inactive) Gabriel Bontempo (Inactive) Neymar (Hamstring Injury) Soteldo Y. (Muscle Injury) Souza (Ankle Injury) Thaciano (Inactive) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Luan Candido (Inactive) Mayk (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Santos were as follows:
    20.08.2023 Santos - Grêmio 2:1
    16.04.2023 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    30.04.2025 CS Alagoano - Grêmio 3:2
    24.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Grêmio 2:2
    19.04.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 1:1
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    Latest results of Santos
    01.05.2025 Santos - CRB Maceio 1:1
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    16.04.2025 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 2:0
    13.04.2025 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1172217:8923
    3Bragantino1172214:8623
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Fluminense1162315:12320
    6Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    7Bahia1153311:11018
    8Mirassol1145217:12517
    9Atletico-MG1145211:10117
    10Ceara1143413:11215
    11Corinthians1143412:14-215
    12Gremio1143411:14-315
    13Sao Paulo112639:11-212
    14Internacional1125412:16-411
    15Vasco1131711:15-410
    16Vitoria1124510:14-410
    17Fortaleza1124510:15-510
    18Santos112278:12-48
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - Santos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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