Grêmio vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Grêmio - Fortaleza
17/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 14
Grêmio - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Grêmio
41.5%
Draw
28.9%
Fortaleza
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 28.9% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 28.3% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Grêmio - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    3.27
    (3.26)
    3.18
    (3.18)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
    • Grêmio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fortaleza is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Grêmio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Fortaleza were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Grêmio - Fortaleza 3:1
    19.06.2024 Fortaleza - Grêmio 1:0
    30.09.2023 Fortaleza - Grêmio 1:1
    14.05.2023 Grêmio - Fortaleza 0:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    16.07.2025 Alianza Lima - Grêmio 2:0
    13.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 4:1
    12.06.2025 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:1
    01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    09.07.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:1
    12.06.2025 Fortaleza - Santos 2:3
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro1493223:91430
    2Flamengo RJ1383226:52127
    3Bragantino1483318:14427
    4Bahia1373316:12424
    5Palmeiras1272313:9423
    6Botafogo RJ1364316:7922
    7Fluminense1262415:14120
    8Atletico-MG1355314:12220
    9Corinthians1454515:17-219
    10Ceara1353514:12218
    11Mirassol1246218:13518
    12Gremio1344513:19-616
    13Santos1342712:14-214
    14Internacional1335513:18-514
    15Vasco1341814:18-413
    16Sao Paulo1427512:18-613
    17Vitoria1426610:15-512
    18Juventude1232710:24-1411
    19Fortaleza1324712:19-710
    20Sport Recife120395:20-153

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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