Result
1:0
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 18
Advertisement
Watch and bet Fluminense - Grêmio live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (369/449) | 79% (282/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (369/449) | 79% (282/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/142) | 67% (45/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Everaldo ⚽, Guga (A),
- 45+3', Joao Lucas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villasanti M. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 46', Joao Lucas ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
- 46', Hercules ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 66', Keno ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 66', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 66', Freitas dos Santos R. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 67', Pavon C. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 76', Everaldo (Pen),
- 83', Everaldo ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 83', Serna K. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 84', Alysson ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 86', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 90+4', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
51% | Draw
28.4% | Grêmio
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Fluminense - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.9) |
3.34 ↓
(3.4) |
4.61 ↑
(4.18) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Recent form of Fluminense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Grêmio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Yellow Cards)
Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Inactive)
Cuellar G.
(Thigh Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Inactive)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Marlon
(Yellow Cards)
Olivera C.
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Rene
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Serna K.
(Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Gustavo Martins
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Grêmio?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Fluminense?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Grêmio were as follows:
01.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
2:2
20.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
3:1
13.08.2024
Grêmio
-
Fluminense
2:1
30.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Fluminense
1:0
06.12.2023
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
2:3
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Santos | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18:22 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11:35 | -24 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Grêmio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
