Cruzeiro vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Grêmio
Result
4:1
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 13
  • Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
Cruzeiro - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.72
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
83% (302/362)84% (364/431)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.72
xG on target (xGOT)
4.141.17
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
83% (302/362)84% (364/431)
Long passes
45% (20/44)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)72% (52/72)
Crosses
27% (4/15)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.55
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1410
Tackles
67% (12/18)50% (7/14)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
1719
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.174.14
Goals prevented
0.170.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 21', William Furtado , Fagner ,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Villalba L. , Christian (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gustavo Martins , Igor Serrote ,
  • 46', Amuzu F. , Aravena A. ,
  • 52', Alex Santana 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 56', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
  • 60', Arezo M. , Andre Henrique ,
  • 60', Cristaldo F. , Edenilson ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Andre Henrique , Edenilson (A),
  • 66', Christian 🟨,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Kaio Jorge , Romero L. (A),
  • 79', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 79', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 79', Alysson , Monsalve M. ,
  • 83', Lucas Silva 🟨,
  • 83', Romero L. , Walace ,
  • 84', Matheus Pereira , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+3', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
58.7%
Draw
26.2%
Grêmio
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 26.8% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 28.2% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Cruzeiro - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.74)
    3.62
    (3.55)
    6.28
    (5.13)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Grêmio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
    • Cruzeiro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grêmio is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G. (Muscle Injury) Joao Lucas (Muscle Injury) Joao Pedro (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Olivera C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Grêmio were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 1:1
    10.07.2024 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    27.08.2023 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 3:0
    31.05.2023 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 0:1
    17.05.2023 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    06.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Banfield 1:0
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1
    28.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe 0:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    12.06.2025 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:1
    01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ18124233:82540
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1786323:16730
    5Botafogo RJ1785423:101329
    6Mirassol1777328:181028
    7Sao Paulo1977522:20228
    8Bragantino1983822:25-327
    9Fluminense1773721:23-224
    10Internacional1866621:23-224
    11Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    12Ceara1764717:17022
    13Corinthians1857617:21-422
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Santos1753918:22-418
    16Vitoria1939716:22-618
    17Vasco1643918:23-515
    18Fortaleza1836918:29-1115
    19Juventude16321111:35-2411
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Grêmio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
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