Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 0.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
82% (356/432) | 68% (176/258) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 0.28 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.35 | 0.62 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 2 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
82% (356/432) | 68% (176/258) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (35/56) | 24% (14/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (112/161) | 38% (22/58) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (12/40) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.56 | 0.12 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (8/8) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.62 | 1.35 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.38 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Junior Todinho ⚽, Gabriel Poveda (A),
- 22', Robson 🟨,
- 41', Dodo 🟨,
- 43', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Romulo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 46', Bruno Xavier ↓, Ralf ↑,
- 49', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 67', Dodo ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
- 67', Junior Todinho ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 68', Igor Henrique 🟨,
- 69', Bruno Jose ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 69', Willian Farias ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Waguininho ⚽, Robson (A),
- 82', Ruiz O. 🟨,
- 82', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 82', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Airton ↑,
- 87', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 88', Igor Henrique ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino 46.9% | Draw 31.9% | Vila Nova 21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↑ (1.82) |
3.24 ↑ (3.2) |
4.74 ↑ (4.54) |
-5.4% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3.
- Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vila Nova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas
(Inactive)
Fabio Matheus
(Red Card)
Jordi
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Patrick
(Yellow Cards)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Arilson
(Inactive)
Higor
(Yellow Cards)
Tiago Pagnussat
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Jean Irmer
(Inactive)
Waguininho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Injury)
Willian Formiga
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Vila Nova?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova were as follows:
30.05.2025
Vila Nova
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
31.08.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Vila Nova
2:0
14.05.2024
Vila Nova
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:1
30.07.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Vila Nova
3:1
15.04.2023
Vila Nova
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Criciuma | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 49 |
2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Novorizontino | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Cuiaba | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 45 |
7 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
10 | CRB | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
11 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
13 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
15 | Athletic Club | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 25:44 | -19 | 29 |
19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |