Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 7
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (320/405) | 82% (336/409) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 0.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.82 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
79% (320/405) | 82% (336/409) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (21/52) | 48% (29/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (73/109) | 67% (70/104) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.56 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.07 | 1.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.93 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Luis Oyama (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes ⚽,
- 45+2', Eric Melo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Matheus Frizzo (Pen),
- 54', 2 - 2, Carlao ⚽, Thiago Lopes (A),
- 67', Luis Oyama ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 67', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 67', Leo Natel ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 68', Denis Junior 🟨,
- 70', Albano ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 70', Eric Melo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 78', Netinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 78', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 79', Patrick Brey 🟨,
- 81', Patrick Brey ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 81', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 88', Marlon 🟨,
- 89', Ricardinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 90+7', Ze Mario 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino 55.8% | Draw 27.7% | Ferroviária 16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↓ (1.95) |
3.4 ↑ (3.33) |
5.6 ↑ (3.83) |
6.7% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Jean Irmer
(Yellow Cards)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Ferroviária?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
2 | Remo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Vila Nova FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Avai | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
5 | Cuiaba | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | CRB | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
7 | Ferroviaria | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
8 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Coritiba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
12 | America MG | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
14 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
15 | Athletic Club | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
16 | Criciuma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Amazonas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |