Coritiba vs Grêmio Novorizontino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
0:0
16/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 3
  • Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)
Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.98
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (456/511)68% (117/173)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.67
Total shots
104
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
126
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
89% (456/511)68% (117/173)
Long passes
60% (25/42)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
73% (87/120)56% (25/45)
Crosses
24% (7/29)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.14
Fouls
1517
Tackles
45% (5/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4544
Clearances Total
929
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.670.24
Goals prevented
0.670.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Filipe Machado 🟨,
  • 30', Nicolas Careca , Ruan Assis ,
  • 38', Dantas 🟥,
  • 45', Guilherme Vargas 🟨,
  • 45+2', Robson (Pen),
  • 45+3', Patrick Brey 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Filipe Machado , Junior Brumado ,
  • 65', Jean Irmer 🟨,
  • 69', Robson , Pablo Dyego ,
  • 69', Matheus Frizzo , Marlon ,
  • 70', Gomez S. , Geovane ,
  • 70', Bruno Melo , de Pena C. ,
  • 70', Lucas Ronier , Wallisson ,
  • 85', Luis Oyama , Fabio Matheus ,
  • 90', Patrick Brey 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rodrigo Soares , Renato ,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
36.6%
Draw
33.4%
Grêmio Novorizontino
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 31% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 30.3% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.26)
    2.82
    (3.03)
    3.15
    (3.42)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Novorizontino have a series of guest games.
    • Coritiba will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Red Card) Dellatorre (Inactive) Everaldo (Inactive) Pedro Morisco (Inactive) Rodrigo Moledo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive) Willian Farias (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2
    17.05.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba 0:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    12.04.2025 Chapecoense - Coritiba 1:2
    05.04.2025 Coritiba - Vila Nova 1:0
    09.03.2025 Coritiba - Maringá 1:1
    27.02.2025 Ceilândia - Coritiba 3:2
    22.02.2025 Maringá - Coritiba 2:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1492318:11729
    2Coritiba1483313:6727
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1463514:12221
    7Cuiaba1363415:15021
    8America MG1462616:16020
    9Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    10Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    11Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    12Atletico GO1446414:13118
    13Ferroviaria1346313:12118
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Volta Redonda143567:12-514
    17Amazonas1435612:19-714
    18Botafogo SP1334611:17-613
    19Athletic Club14401013:23-1012
    20Paysandu PA132477:14-710

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    worldWorldDisney+
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