Atlético Goianiense vs Grêmio Novorizontino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 6
  • Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.87
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
62% (123/200)88% (440/502)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.520.46
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
62% (123/200)88% (440/502)
Long passes
26% (17/65)51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
39% (22/57)80% (103/129)
Crosses
15% (2/13)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.59
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1611
Tackles
86% (6/7)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3548
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.460.52
Goals prevented
0.46-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Dantas 🟨,
  • 27', Jean Irmer 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ,
  • 38', Marcelinho 🟥,
  • 40', Dantas , Waguininho ,
  • 40', Jean Irmer , Marlon ,
  • 41', Waguininho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Nathan Fogaca , Lucca ,
  • 66', Rafael Donato , Willian Farias ,
  • 70', Robert Conceicao , Ruan Teixeira ,
  • 70', Sandro Lima , Leo Naldi ,
  • 72', Luis Oyama , Bruno Jose ,
  • 79', Willian Pottker , Martinez F. ,
  • 81', Luizao 🟨,
  • 87', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Vladimir 🟨,
  • 90+6', Leo Naldi 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
37.3%
Draw
32.2%
Grêmio Novorizontino
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 29.7% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 30% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.1)
    2.91
    (3.13)
    3.08
    (3.59)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Rhaldney (Yellow Cards) Shaylon (Injury)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    01.11.2023 Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2
    07.07.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1182115:6926
    2Novorizontino1164114:7722
    3Cuiaba1163215:10521
    4Coritiba1162310:6420
    5Remo1155114:9520
    6Avai1154215:9619
    7CRB1153311:9218
    8Chapecoense-SC1151514:10416
    9Vila Nova FC115159:9016
    10Ferroviaria1136211:10115
    11Operario-PR1142513:14-114
    12Athletico-PR1142514:16-214
    13Atletico GO1135312:12014
    14America MG1141610:14-413
    15Criciuma1133511:10112
    16Volta Redonda112455:9-410
    17Botafogo SP1124510:16-610
    18Amazonas112457:14-710
    19Athletic Club112098:19-116
    20Paysandu PA110475:14-94

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino?
    It is being streamed on channel
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