Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL League One Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph
Result
3:1
12/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.64
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
89% (401/450)79% (233/294)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.69
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2727
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
89% (401/450)79% (233/294)
Long passes
60% (31/52)43% (15/35)
Passes in final third
74% (68/92)52% (43/82)
Crosses
40% (4/10)57% (8/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.38
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1412
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5043
Clearances
3921
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.691.24
Goals prevented
-0.31-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado , Brown N. (A),
  • 21', Bubb Z. 🟥,
  • 27', Garcia C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Mesias A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Gebhard D. , Lucca Dourado (A),
  • 59', Garcia C. , Viader D. ,
  • 59', Lucca Dourado , McLaughlin G. ,
  • 63', Robles R. , Mensah R. ,
  • 70', Lee E. , Anguiano C. ,
  • 70', Soto E. , Benton D. ,
  • 71', Gebhard D. , Galindrez J. ,
  • 75', Bartman N. , Graffin A. ,
  • 82', Polak T. , Corvino P. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Marsh C. , Mensah R. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 1, Galindrez J. ,
  • 90+2', Corvino P. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Forward Madison
35.5%
Draw
30.7%
Greenville Triumph
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.9% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.35)
    2.96
    (3)
    2.69
    (2.82)
    10.2%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.
    • Forward Madison is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Greenville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Greenville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 3:2
    23.03.2024 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 0:0
    29.07.2023 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 1:1
    01.07.2023 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 1:0
    15.04.2023 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 4:1
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    Latest results of Greenville Triumph
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1795324:16832
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves1686226:161030
    3Charlotte Independ1877430:25528
    4One Knoxville1576222:14827
    5AV Alta1776427:21627
    6FC Naples1775524:21326
    7Texoma1756623:29-621
    8Greenville1855823:25-220
    9Portland Hearts of Pine1648418:17120
    10Forward Madison1638514:17-317
    11Richmond Kickers1744925:30-516
    12Tormenta1744922:31-916
    13Westchester SC1636725:33-815
    14Union Omaha1542918:26-814

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