Arbroath vs Greenock Morton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Football Championship Arbroath - Greenock Morton
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Arbroath - Greenock Morton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Arbroath
42.4%
Draw
27.9%
Greenock Morton
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arbroath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Arbroath - Greenock Morton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.99)
    3.35
    (3.36)
    3.09
    (3.49)
    8.2%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
    • In recent matches, Arbroath has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Greenock is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Arbroath could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arbroath - Greenock Morton were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2
    27.01.2024 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 3:0
    09.12.2023 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2
    26.08.2023 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 0:3
    17.03.2023 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:1
    Latest results of Arbroath
    06.09.2025 Ross County - Arbroath 1:2
    30.08.2025 Arbroath - Airdrieonians 1:0
    23.08.2025 St. Johnstone - Arbroath 3:0
    09.08.2025 Queens Park - Arbroath 1:3
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone541012:21013
    2Raith63127:6110
    3Partick Thistle531110:10010
    4Arbroath63127:11-410
    5Dunfermline52219:458
    6Morton60514:5-15
    7Ayr50415:6-14
    8Queen's Park50414:6-24
    9Ross County60337:11-43
    10Airdrieonians50234:8-42

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One

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