Arbroath vs Greenock Morton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gayfield Park (Arbroath).

: Championship - Round 7
Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
1	5
Shots on target
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	4
Yellow Cards
1	0
Total shots
1	5
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Wilkie J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Flynn R. ↓, Gold D. ↑,
49', Stewart S. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Marshall F. ⚽, Gold D. (A),
63', Blues C. ↓, Moffat O. ↑,
63', Brophy E. ↓, Crawford A. ↑,
63', Wilson I. ↓, Robertson K. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Longridge J. ⚽, Moffat O. (A),
82', Adeloye T. ↓, McKay Z. ↑,
82', Comrie A. ↓, Ballantyne C. ↑,
87', Cochrane H. ↓, MacIntyre J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Arbroath
35.6%

Draw
31.4%

Greenock Morton
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arbroath's form might have worsened.

Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greenock Morton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arbroath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greenock Morton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arbroath - Greenock Morton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.99)	3.02 ↓ (3.36)	2.91 ↓ (3.49)	4.7% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Arbroath - Greenock Morton?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Greenock will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1.
In recent matches, Arbroath has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Greenock has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Arbroath won against Greenock Morton?

Arbroath has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greenock Morton won against Arbroath?

Greenock Morton has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arbroath - Greenock Morton were as follows:

20.04.2024 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2

27.01.2024 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 3:0

09.12.2023 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:2

26.08.2023 Greenock Morton - Arbroath 0:3

17.03.2023 Arbroath - Greenock Morton 1:1

Latest results of Arbroath

13.09.2025 Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic 0:5 ✺

06.09.2025 Ross County - Arbroath 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Arbroath - Airdrieonians 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 St. Johnstone - Arbroath 3:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Queens Park - Arbroath 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Greenock Morton

13.09.2025 Queens Park - Greenock Morton 0:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Greenock Morton - Aberdeen 0:3 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	9	7	2	0	18:5	13	23
2	Partick Thistle	8	5	2	1	14:11	3	17
3	Raith	9	4	2	3	10:8	2	14
4	Arbroath	9	3	3	3	9:16	-7	12
5	Ayr	8	2	5	1	10:8	2	11
6	Morton	9	1	7	1	8:8	0	10
7	Dunfermline	9	2	3	4	10:9	1	9
8	Queen's Park	9	1	5	3	7:10	-3	8
9	Ross County	9	1	4	4	11:14	-3	7
10	Airdrieonians	9	0	3	6	8:16	-8	3

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Arbroath - Greenock Morton?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: