Essendon Bombers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants
Result
56:104
17/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 19
Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
716
Behinds
148
Kicks
186244
Handballs
134133
Disposals
320377
Frees For
2510
Frees Against
1025
Clearances Completed
3041
Marks
75115
Tackles
4841
Hitouts
2442

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (5 - 12)
  • 01:32, Clarke A. (Behind),
  • 09:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:35, Greene T. (G),
  • 13:53, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 18:34, Cadman A. (G),
  • 21:30, Guelfi M. (Behind),
  • 27:17, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (9 - 39)
  • 01:28, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 06:33, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 10:11, Durham S. (Behind),
  • 11:35, Ridley J. (Behind),
  • 12:47, Gruzewski M. (G),
  • 15:33, Gruzewski M. (G),
  • 17:22, Stringer J. (G),
  • 19:53, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 21:52, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 24:03, Briggs K. (G),
  • 25:45, McMahon L. (G),
  • 27:24, Cadman A. (Behind),
  • 33:31, Riccardi J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 01:11, McMahon L. (G),
  • 03:54, Green T. (G),
  • 06:20, Brown C. (Behind),
  • 07:42, Kako I. (G),
  • 11:03, Stringer J. (G),
  • 13:30, Brown C. (G),
  • 15:25, May A. (Behind),
  • 16:44, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 18:33, Stringer J. (Behind),
  • 19:15, Perkins A. (G),
  • 24:35, Brown C. (G),
  • 27:49, Stringer J. (G),
  • 30:09, Wright P. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (16 - 21)
  • 06:12, O'Halloran X. (G),
  • 08:35, Duursma X. (G),
  • 09:52, Greene T. (G),
  • 12:19, Wright P. (G),
  • 17:05, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 19:26, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
  • 20:36, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 22:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:00, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 24:56, Bedford T. (Behind),
  • 26:49, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 28:23, Jones D. (G),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
11.6%
Greater Western Sydney Giants
88.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 67.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greater Western Sydney Giants's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.53
    (3.49)

    1.07
    (1.31)
    7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-45)
  • What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). GWS will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 64:109.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.
    • Essendon is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • GWS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, GWS is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1440:1546. (average 80:85.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 565:531. (average 80.7:75.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 82:62
    19.08.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers 162:36
    09.04.2023 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 88:75
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1714031571:1154136.1456
    2Brisbane Lions1813141625:1394116.5754
    3Adelaide Crows1712051678:1233136.0948
    4GWS Giants1812061620:1396116.0548
    5Geelong Cats1711061686:1321127.6344
    6Gold Coast Suns1611051501:1232121.8344
    7Hawthorn Hawks1711061505:1289116.7644
    8Fremantle Dockers1711061431:1309109.3244
    9Western Bulldogs1810081890:1483127.4440
    10Sydney Swans178091357:144194.1732
    11Port Adelaide Power178091335:148689.8432
    12Carlton Blues1760111311:139993.7124
    13Melbourne Demons1760111372:152989.7324
    14Essendon Bombers1760111177:156975.0224
    15St Kilda Saints1750121357:157486.2120
    16North Melbourne1741121320:172076.7418
    17Richmond Tigers1740131061:164764.4216
    18West Coast Eagles1710161116:173764.254

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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