Essendon Bombers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants
Result
56:104
17/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 19
Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
716
Behinds
148
Kicks
186244
Handballs
134133
Disposals
320377
Frees For
2510
Frees Against
1025
Clearances Completed
3041
Marks
75115
Tackles
4841
Hitouts
2442

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (5 - 12)
  • 01:32, Clarke A. (Behind),
  • 09:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:35, Greene T. (G),
  • 13:53, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 18:34, Cadman A. (G),
  • 21:30, Guelfi M. (Behind),
  • 27:17, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (9 - 39)
  • 01:28, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 06:33, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 10:11, Durham S. (Behind),
  • 11:35, Ridley J. (Behind),
  • 12:47, Gruzewski M. (G),
  • 15:33, Gruzewski M. (G),
  • 17:22, Stringer J. (G),
  • 19:53, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 21:52, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 24:03, Briggs K. (G),
  • 25:45, McMahon L. (G),
  • 27:24, Cadman A. (Behind),
  • 33:31, Riccardi J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 01:11, McMahon L. (G),
  • 03:54, Green T. (G),
  • 06:20, Brown C. (Behind),
  • 07:42, Kako I. (G),
  • 11:03, Stringer J. (G),
  • 13:30, Brown C. (G),
  • 15:25, May A. (Behind),
  • 16:44, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 18:33, Stringer J. (Behind),
  • 19:15, Perkins A. (G),
  • 24:35, Brown C. (G),
  • 27:49, Stringer J. (G),
  • 30:09, Wright P. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (16 - 21)
  • 06:12, O'Halloran X. (G),
  • 08:35, Duursma X. (G),
  • 09:52, Greene T. (G),
  • 12:19, Wright P. (G),
  • 17:05, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 19:26, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
  • 20:36, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 22:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:00, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 24:56, Bedford T. (Behind),
  • 26:49, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 28:23, Jones D. (G),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
11.6%
Greater Western Sydney Giants
88.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 67.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greater Western Sydney Giants's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.53
    (3.49)

    1.07
    (1.31)
    7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-45)
  • What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). GWS will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 64:109.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.
    • Essendon is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • GWS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, GWS is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1440:1546. (average 80:85.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 565:531. (average 80.7:75.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 82:62
    19.08.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers 162:36
    09.04.2023 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 88:75
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)TBD #2
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2
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