Gouveia vs Vila Real: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Campeonato de Portugal Gouveia - Vila Real
Result
0:5
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 5
Gouveia - Vila Real - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
94
Total shots
311
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', 0 - 1, Teixeira Azevedo A. F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Miguelito ,
  • 59', 0 - 3, Chiquinho ,
  • 74', 0 - 4, Bolaji O. ,
  • 79', 0 - 5, Miguelito ,

Chances of winning


Gouveia
18.5%
Draw
18.4%
Vila Real
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 27.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 28.8% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gouveia's form might have worsened.
  • Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Real's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gouveia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-28.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Real, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gouveia - Vila Real Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.19
    (2.5)
    6.23
    (3.25)
    1.81
    (2.5)
    -12.6%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Gouveia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vila Real's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Gouveia
    21.09.2025 Rebordelo - Gouveia 3:2
    14.09.2025 Rebordosa - Gouveia 4:0
    31.08.2025 Gouveia - Beira-Mar 4:2
    24.08.2025 Gouveia - Aparecida 1:2
    17.08.2025 Resende - Gouveia 2:1
    Latest results of Vila Real
    21.09.2025 Machico - Vila Real 0:2
    14.09.2025 Vila Real - União Lamas 1:3
    30.08.2025 Vila Real - Camacha 3:2
    24.08.2025 Alpendorada - Vila Real 0:0
    17.08.2025 Vila Real - Cinfães 1:1
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