Gornyak-UGMK vs Dizel Penza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : VHL
Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:43, 0 - 1, Andriyanov A. (G), Popov D. (A), Pochivalov D. (A2)
  • 05:06, 1 - 1, Kashtanov A. (G), Miller N. (A), Sushchev V. (A2)
  • 15:29, 2 - 1, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 02:06, 2 - 2, Pochivalov D. (G), Pogorishny O. (A), Popov D. (A2)
  • 03:39, 2 - 3, Andriyanov A. (G), Popov D. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gornyak-UGMK
39.7%
Draw
24.9%
Dizel Penza
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 24.6% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 25.2% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.34)
    3.75
    (3.8)
    2.64
    (2.63)
    7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.
    • Gornyak-UGMK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dizel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:35. (average 2.4:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza were as follows:
    22.09.2025 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 3:1
    17.02.2025 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2
    06.10.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza 4:0
    30.11.2023 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 0:2
    20.11.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza 4:3
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    26.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan 2:1
    24.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - AKM 4:2
    19.02.2026 Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK 3:4
    Latest results of Dizel Penza
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)4 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)4 : 3
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)4 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)4 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)Gornyak (8)2 : 0
    2Khimik (4)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)0 : 1
    3HC Yugra (2)Omskie Krylia (7)1 : 0
    4Almetyevsk (3)Ryazan (6)1 : 1
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