Result
3:1
22/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 14:10, 1 - 0, Popov D. (G), Sidlyarov D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:02, 1 - 1, Demidovich V. (G),
- 12:04, 2 - 1, Shiksatdarov I. (G), Kolmykov M. (A), Sukhov S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 13:19, 3 - 1, Zakirov T. (G),
Chances of winning
Dizel Penza 39.5% | Draw 23.7% | Gornyak-UGMK 36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.22) |
3.96 ↓ (4) |
2.56 ↓ (2.72) |
6.5% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 2.
- In recent matches, Dizel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gornyak-UGMK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Dizel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:38. (average 2.1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dizel Penza won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Dizel Penza has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Dizel Penza?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
17.02.2025
Dizel Penza
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:2
06.10.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Dizel Penza
4:0
30.11.2023
Dizel Penza
-
Gornyak-UGMK
0:2
20.11.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Dizel Penza
4:3
28.11.2022
Dizel Penza
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:4
Latest results of Dizel Penza
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 36:27 | 19 |
2 | Dizel | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 34:25 | 18 |
3 | Omskie Krylia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 39:20 | 18 |
4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 37:24 | 17 |
5 | Gornyak | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 37:22 | 16 |
6 | Perm | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 31:23 | 16 |
7 | HC Yugra | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28:9 | 15 |
8 | Toros Neftekamsk | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 32:22 | 15 |
9 | Zvezda Moscow | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22:19 | 14 |
10 | Torpedo Gorky | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 28:27 | 14 |
11 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29:22 | 13 |
12 | Almetyevsk | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 13 |
13 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37:36 | 13 |
14 | Orsk | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 20:29 | 13 |
15 | Izhevsk | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:22 | 12 |
16 | Kurgan | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25:27 | 12 |
17 | AKM | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 27:30 | 12 |
18 | Bars | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19:25 | 11 |
19 | Khimik | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:26 | 10 |
20 | CSK VVS | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 22:32 | 10 |
21 | Rubin Tyumen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 10 |
22 | Ryazan | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25:29 | 10 |
23 | Krasnoyarsk | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21:19 | 9 |
24 | Tambov | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:22 | 9 |
25 | HK Norilsk | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24:26 | 9 |
26 | HC Rostov | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23:21 | 9 |
27 | Dyn. Altay | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21:27 | 8 |
28 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:30 | 8 |
29 | Olympia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:30 | 8 |
30 | Buran Voronezh | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:27 | 7 |
31 | Kristall Saratov | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16:36 | 6 |
32 | Chelny | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:47 | 5 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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