Stal Mielec vs Górnik Zabrze: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.38	1.58
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
84% (373/442)	87% (434/497)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38	1.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.84
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
14	15
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
7	16
Passes
84% (373/442)	87% (434/497)
Long passes
57% (31/54)	52% (33/64)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)	80% (103/128)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	0.87
Fouls
16	7
Tackles
67% (12/18)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
41	49
Clearances Total
11	19
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.84	0.69
Goals prevented
0.84	0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Jaunzems A. 🟨,
19', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
45+3', Cavaleiro I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
54', Szala D. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
63', Hannola P. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
63', Zahovic L. ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
63', Furukawa Y. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
69', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
69', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
77', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
89', Podolski L. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stal Mielec
34.5%

Draw
27.7%

Górnik Zabrze
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)	6.5% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.
Stal Mielec has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janza E. (Suspended)
There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K. (Inactive)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Górnik Zabrze?

Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Stal Mielec?

Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:

20.10.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec 3:1

11.05.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec 1:1

12.11.2023 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 2:1

26.02.2023 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 0:1

Latest results of Stal Mielec

14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Cracovia 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław 1:4 ✺

08.03.2025 Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Górnik Zabrze

11.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 4:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze 1:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	33	21	4	8	67:31	36	67
2	Rakow	33	19	9	5	49:22	27	66
3	Jagiellonia	33	17	9	7	55:41	14	60
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	17	6	10	58:39	19	57
5	Legia	33	15	8	10	58:43	15	53
6	Cracovia	33	13	9	11	56:52	4	48
7	Motor Lublin	33	13	7	13	45:57	-12	46
8	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	7	13	42:38	4	46
9	GKS Katowice	33	13	7	13	46:45	1	46
10	Piast Gliwice	33	11	12	10	37:35	2	45
11	Korona Kielce	33	11	11	11	36:44	-8	44
12	Radomiak Radom	33	11	8	14	46:49	-3	41
13	Widzew Lodz	32	10	7	15	35:47	-12	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	33	10	7	16	42:56	-14	37
15	Zaglebie	33	10	6	17	32:49	-17	36
16	Stal Mielec ✔	33	7	9	17	37:54	-17	30
17	Slask Wroclaw ✔	33	6	11	16	37:52	-15	29
18	Puszcza ✔	32	6	9	17	36:60	-24	27

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
Slask Wroclaw is Relegated to Division 1
Puszcza is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball