Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.52
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
248
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
79% (342/431)75% (300/401)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.37
Total shots
248
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
130
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
5710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
79% (342/431)75% (300/401)
Long passes
52% (23/44)44% (38/86)
Passes in final third
69% (125/182)64% (58/91)
Crosses
43% (6/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.240.37
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1210
Tackles
50% (10/20)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
1129
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.371.20
Goals prevented
-0.630.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pietuszewski O. , Romanczuk T. (A),
  • 30', Prebsl F. 🟨,
  • 33', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Szczesniak K. , Kmet M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Prebsl F. , Olkowski P. ,
  • 46', Furukawa Y. , Sow O. ,
  • 46', Buksa A. , Zahovic L. ,
  • 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Pululu A. ,
  • 71', Villar Miki , Semedo E. ,
  • 71', Imaz J. , Hansen K. ,
  • 72', Liseth S. 🟨,
  • 75', Liseth S. , Sarapata D. ,
  • 82', Podolski L. , Lukoszek K. ,
  • 86', Wojtuszek N. , Dieguez A. ,
  • 86', Pietuszewski O. , Mazurek B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
57.5%
Draw
23.3%
Górnik Zabrze
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 24.3% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 21.9% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.
  • Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Zabrze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Zabrze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.86)
    4.04
    (3.86)
    4.85
    (3.73)
    6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R. (Yellow Cards) Janza E. (Suspended) Szala D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    02.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    27.08.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 4:1
    11.03.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 2:1
    26.08.2022 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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