Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.52
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
248
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
79% (342/431)75% (300/401)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.37
Total shots
248
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
130
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
5710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
79% (342/431)75% (300/401)
Long passes
52% (23/44)44% (38/86)
Passes in final third
69% (125/182)64% (58/91)
Crosses
43% (6/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.240.37
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1210
Tackles
50% (10/20)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
1129
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.371.20
Goals prevented
-0.630.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pietuszewski O. , Romanczuk T. (A),
  • 30', Prebsl F. 🟨,
  • 33', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Szczesniak K. , Kmet M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Prebsl F. , Olkowski P. ,
  • 46', Furukawa Y. , Sow O. ,
  • 46', Buksa A. , Zahovic L. ,
  • 57', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Pululu A. ,
  • 71', Villar Miki , Semedo E. ,
  • 71', Imaz J. , Hansen K. ,
  • 72', Liseth S. 🟨,
  • 75', Liseth S. , Sarapata D. ,
  • 82', Podolski L. , Lukoszek K. ,
  • 86', Wojtuszek N. , Dieguez A. ,
  • 86', Pietuszewski O. , Mazurek B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
57.5%
Draw
23.3%
Górnik Zabrze
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 24.3% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 21.9% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.
  • Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Zabrze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Zabrze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.86)
    4.04
    (3.86)
    4.85
    (3.73)
    6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Jagiellonia Białystok will win! (15 of 16 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R. (Yellow Cards) Janza E. (Suspended) Szala D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    02.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    27.08.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 4:1
    11.03.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 2:1
    26.08.2022 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan32213865:293666
    2Rakow32198548:212765
    3Jagiellonia33179755:411460
    4Pogon Szczecin331761058:391957
    5Legia32158957:401753
    6Gornik Zabrze331371342:38446
    7GKS Katowice321361344:43145
    8Piast Gliwice3311121037:35245
    9Cracovia321291153:51245
    10Korona Kielce3211101135:43-843
    11Motor Lublin321271344:57-1343
    12Radomiak Radom331181446:49-341
    13Widzew Lodz321071535:47-1237
    14Lechia Gdansk331071642:56-1437
    15Zaglebie321061632:48-1636
    16Stal Mielec ✔ 33791737:54-1730
    17Slask Wroclaw ✔ 336111637:52-1529
    18Puszcza ✔ 32691736:60-2427

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
    Slask Wroclaw is Relegated to Division 1
    Puszcza is Relegated to Division 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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