Result
0:3
24/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/402) | 83% (340/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/402) | 83% (340/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/49) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 72% (81/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Kolinger D. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
- 37', Ndockyt M. 🟨,
- 37', Gashi M. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ndockyt M. ↓, Slogar M. ↑,
- 49', Jojic N. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Gorican S. ⚽, Smakaj A. (A),
- 70', Jojic N. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
- 70', Pajaziti A. ↓, Prsir J. ↑,
- 75', Vasilj J. ↓, Busnja D. ↑,
- 83', Elezi A. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 85', Gorican S. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 85', Smakaj A. ↓, Antolic D. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 3, Karacic F. ⚽,
- 90', Krivak F. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 90', Mudrazija R. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
38.1% | Draw
28.4% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Lokomotiva Zagreb aligns with the current prediction.
Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.37) |
3.29 ↓
(3.37) |
2.81 ↓
(2.86) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lokomotiva is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Andric K.
(Inactive)
Antolic D.
(Inactive)
Savatovic L.
(Inactive)
Sigali L.
(Red Card)
Vrbancic L.
(Inactive)
Vukovic D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Les M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
28.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:1
10.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
21.12.2024
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:4
05.10.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
13.07.2024
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Which TV channels are streaming of Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
