Result
1:1
28/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : HNL - Round 27
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (429/504) | 79% (345/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (429/504) | 79% (345/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 46% (40/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (127/167) | 61% (46/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 81% (21/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Halilovic T. ⚽, Ndockyt M. (A),
- 41', Bralic S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Mudrazija R. (Pen),
- 45+3', Karacic F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 72', Vukovic D. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
- 73', Pajaziti A. ↓, Caic V. ↑,
- 73', Cuic F. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
- 85', Gorican S. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 85', Andric K. ↓, Feta F. ↑,
- 86', Elezi A. ↓, Slogar M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ndockyt M. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
49.4% | Draw
27.2% | Gorica
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.81) |
3.43 ↓
(3.58) |
3.99 ↓
(4.29) |
7.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Lokomotiva Zagreb will win! (17 of 21 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva won 3.
- Recent matches Lokomotiva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gorica is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Lokomotiva is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Mudrazija R.
(Inactive)
Vukovic D.
(Inactive)
Zilinski F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A.
(Yellow Cards)
Fiolic I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Prsir J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:23 (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiva won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica were as follows:
10.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
21.12.2024
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:4
05.10.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
13.07.2024
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
06.04.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 68:41 | 27 | 62 |
| 2 | Rijeka | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 46:19 | 27 | 62 |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 35 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 49 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 47 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 45 |
| 7 | Osijek | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:51 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Gorica | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 37 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:54 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 | Sibenik ✔ | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sibenik is Relegated to Prva NL
Which TV channels are streaming of Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
