Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Croatian HNL Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica
Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : HNL - Round 3
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.68
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
212
Passes
81% (307/380)78% (299/381)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.32
Total shots
913
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
212
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
81% (307/380)78% (299/381)
Long passes
44% (17/39)45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
66% (55/83)62% (58/94)
Crosses
13% (2/15)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.69
Throw-ins
1926
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (10/18)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5356
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.321.02
Goals prevented
-1.680.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Mbacke D. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Antolic D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Cuic F. , Erceg A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Prsir J. , Trontelj Z. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Pozo I. ,
  • 67', Subotic M. , Vasilj J. ,
  • 67', Godec N. , Boune M. ,
  • 67', Vukovic D. , Huskic A. ,
  • 75', Pozo I. , Bakic O. ,
  • 80', Krivak F. , Susak M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, Erceg A. , Bakic O. (A),
  • 87', Pavicic D. , Fiolic I. ,
  • 88', Antolic D. , Canjuga I. ,
  • 90+4', Prsir J. , Kucis S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lokomotiva Zagreb
47.2%
Draw
28.1%
Gorica
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.9% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.5% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.94)
    3.39
    (3.33)
    3.92
    (3.85)
    5.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiva: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 4.
    • Lokomotiva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gorica is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gorica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lokomotiva has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lokomotiva is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lokomotiva: Kolinger D. (Red Card) Zilinski F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Gorica: Durakovic E. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb 0:3
    28.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica 1:1
    10.01.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica 2:0
    21.12.2024 Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:4
    05.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica 2:0
    Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
    Latest results of Gorica
    10.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Gorica 2:0
    04.08.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 1:1
    25.07.2025 Triglav - Gorica 3:1
    24.07.2025 Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana 4:1
    19.07.2025 Gorica - Charlton Athletic 0:2
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb541012:21013
    2Hajduk Split541011:3813
    3Lok. Zagreb52217:708
    4Varazdin51316:7-16
    5Slaven Belupo52036:9-36
    6Gorica51226:7-15
    7Rijeka51225:6-15
    8Istra 196151225:8-35
    9Osijek50321:5-43
    10Vukovar 199150234:9-52

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Prva NL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
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