Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TIO Stadium (Darwin).

: AFL - Round 9

Match Stats


Goals
15	14
Behinds
16	12
Kicks
193	226
Handballs
160	173
Disposals
353	399
Frees For
11	15
Frees Against
15	11
Clearances Completed
37	34
Marks
74	100
Tackles
49	67
Hitouts
41	41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (29 - 21)
00:58, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
02:11, Long B. (Behind),
03:38, Clohesy S. (Behind),
04:48, King B. (Behind),
08:55, Graham W. (G),
10:41, Kennedy M. (G),
17:10, (Behind Rushed),
17:39, Rioli D. (G),
19:59, Graham W. (G),
21:54, Khamis B. (Behind),
23:45, (Behind Rushed),
24:18, Flanders S. (G),
25:39, Kennedy M. (G),
27:25, West R. (G),
30:33, West R. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (15 - 16)
01:24, Kennedy M. (G),
03:10, King B. (Behind),
06:18, Richards E. (Behind),
10:21, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
12:28, Ainsworth B. (G),
14:28, West R. (Behind),
16:30, West R. (Behind),
20:10, King B. (G),
21:31, Sanders R. (G),
22:59, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
24:49, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (41 - 26)
00:19, Holman N. (G),
01:38, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
02:34, Vandermeer L. (G),
05:46, Richards E. (G),
06:58, Naughton A. (Behind),
08:40, King B. (Behind),
09:49, Long B. (G),
12:12, Rowell M. (G),
14:14, Flanders S. (G),
15:26, Khamis B. (G),
18:15, Vandermeer L. (G),
19:44, Humphrey B. (Behind),
21:03, (Behind Rushed),
25:15, King B. (G),
28:01, Humphrey B. (Behind),
30:07, Clohesy S. (G),
33:00, Graham W. (Behind),
4th Quarter (21 - 33)
00:50, Holman N. (G),
03:50, Richards E. (Behind),
05:15, West R. (G),
09:28, (Behind Rushed),
12:23, Long B. (Behind),
15:19, Noble J. (G),
18:46, Anderson N. (Behind),
20:16, Davidson S. (G),
22:03, McNeil L. (G),
23:34, McNeil L. (Behind),
25:50, Davidson S. (G),
27:23, Bontempelli M. (G),
32', Graham W. (Behind),
33:07, King B. (G),

Chances of winning

Gold Coast Suns
52.2%

Western Bulldogs
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)		1.93 ↓ (2.1)	8% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Western will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Western (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:87.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1212:1445. (average 71.3:85).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 603:551. (average 86.1:78.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against Western Bulldogs?

Gold Coast Suns has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Gold Coast Suns?

Western Bulldogs has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs were as follows:

23.03.2024 Western Bulldogs - Gold Coast Suns 115:67

27.05.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 84:77

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49 ✺

26.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 117:79 ✺

19.04.2025 Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns 80:69 ✺

11.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gold Coast Suns 89:141 ✺

04.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Adelaide Crows 91:90 ✺

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

02.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power 131:41 ✺

26.04.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs 81:113 ✺

20.04.2025 Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints 127:56 ✺

12.04.2025 Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions 97:118 ✺

06.04.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Western Bulldogs 97:81 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	13	11	0	2	1197:893	134.04	44
2	Brisbane Lions	13	9	1	3	1128:1002	112.57	38
3	Adelaide Crows	13	9	0	4	1313:957	137.20	36
4	Geelong Cats	13	9	0	4	1275:1010	126.24	36
5	Gold Coast Suns	12	8	0	4	1114:904	123.23	32
6	Hawthorn Hawks	13	8	0	5	1150:1029	111.76	32
7	GWS Giants	13	7	0	6	1081:1008	107.24	28
8	Fremantle Dockers	12	7	0	5	1013:952	106.41	28
9	Western Bulldogs	12	6	0	6	1210:991	122.10	24
10	Essendon Bombers	12	6	0	6	891:1049	84.94	24
11	Carlton Blues	12	5	0	7	967:935	103.42	20
12	St Kilda Saints	12	5	0	7	993:1067	93.06	20
13	Sydney Swans	13	5	0	8	1004:1114	90.13	20
14	Melbourne Demons	13	5	0	8	1023:1159	88.27	20
15	Port Adelaide Power	12	5	0	7	901:1106	81.46	20
16	North Melbourne	12	3	1	8	936:1171	79.93	14
17	Richmond Tigers	13	3	0	10	853:1229	69.41	12
18	West Coast Eagles	13	1	0	12	892:1365	65.35	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 503
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 6