SJK vs Gnistan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga SJK - Gnistan
Result
3:1
20/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
SJK - Gnistan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
85% (376/442)76% (244/322)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.79
Total shots
167
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
99
Passes
85% (376/442)76% (244/322)
Long passes
57% (38/67)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
75% (117/155)55% (48/88)
Crosses
21% (7/34)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.78
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
99
Tackles
85% (11/13)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4433
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.791.52
Goals prevented
-0.21-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Ritari M. , Heiskanen S. (A),
  • 35', Wilson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Hafstad D. , Latonen J. ,
  • 46', Wilson A. , Hannola P. ,
  • 58', Arko-Mensah E. , Raitala J. ,
  • 58', Kabashi A. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Paananen K. , Yussif S. (A),
  • 60', Tessilimi O. , Streng J. ,
  • 60', Arsalo M. , Gasc V. R. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Karjalainen R. ,
  • 73', Obileye A. , Vaisto O. ,
  • 79', Fati B. , Murilo ,
  • 83', Heiskanen S. , Atarah A. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Karjalainen R. , Vargas A. (A),

Chances of winning


SJK
49.8%
Draw
25%
Gnistan
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.3% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 22.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SJK's form might have worsened.
  • Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • SJK - Gnistan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.7)
    3.91
    (4.03)
    3.84
    (4.42)
    2.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for SJK - Gnistan?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • SJK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gnistan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, SJK is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Craninx A. (Red Card) Eremenko R. (Inactive) Hanninen V. (Inactive) Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SJK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, SJK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - Gnistan were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Gnistan - SJK 2:2
    26.08.2024 SJK - Gnistan 0:1
    28.04.2024 Gnistan - SJK 0:1
    Latest results of SJK
    17.07.2025 KÍ Klaksvík - SJK 2:0
    10.07.2025 SJK - KÍ Klaksvík 1:2
    05.07.2025 SJK - Ilves 1:1
    28.06.2025 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 4:1
    24.06.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:0
    Latest results of Gnistan
    13.07.2025 Gnistan - Haka 2:0
    07.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Gnistan 0:0
    01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 6:2
    27.06.2025 Gnistan - Inter Turku 2:2
    18.06.2025 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 19127043:162743
    2KuPS19114433:201337
    3Ilves ✔ 18113439:211836
    4HJK18102640:241632
    5SJK1894535:27831
    6Gnistan1966730:35-524
    7Jaro1964922:28-622
    8VPS1856727:28-121
    9Mariehamn1946919:38-1918
    10Haka19441122:35-1316
    11AC Oulu19431225:39-1415
    12KTP19351121:45-2414

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of SJK - Gnistan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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