Gnistan vs SJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - SJK
Result
2:2
16/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
  • Referee: Makinen K. (Fin)
Gnistan - SJK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.88
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
81% (330/406)79% (344/437)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.76
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
611
Passes
81% (330/406)79% (344/437)
Long passes
45% (29/64)62% (45/73)
Passes in final third
63% (71/113)69% (82/119)
Crosses
36% (8/22)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.47
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
116
Tackles
44% (7/16)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.760.95
Goals prevented
-1.24-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Hanninen V. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Hanninen V. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Chukwudi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Padera P. , Mastokangas E. ,
  • 46', Hanninen V. , Hafstad D. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Eremenko R. ,
  • 63', Fati B. 🟨,
  • 65', Hafstad D. 🟨,
  • 68', Kabashi A. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Chukwudi S. ,
  • 76', Chukwudi S. , Koivisto T. ,
  • 82', Gasc V. R. , Machaal A. ,
  • 84', Latonen J. , Gunes O. ,
  • 88', Karjalainen R. 🟨,
  • 90', Paananen K. , Tessilimi O. ,
  • 90+3', Vayrynen T. , Vauhkonen E. ,

Chances of winning


Gnistan
39.2%
Draw
25.8%
SJK
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 25.8% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 25.6% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gnistan's performance.
  • SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gnistan - SJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.89)
    3.68
    (3.67)
    2.71
    (2.28)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Gnistan - SJK?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). SJK will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Arko-Mensah E. (Red Card) Lyberopoulos O. (Inactive) Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Pettersson O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in SJK: Bojang M. (Yellow Cards) Pires K. (Inactive) Yussif S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - SJK were as follows:
    26.08.2024 SJK - Gnistan 0:1
    28.04.2024 Gnistan - SJK 0:1
    Latest results of Gnistan
    10.05.2025 Oulu - Gnistan 2:3
    03.05.2025 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    27.04.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    22.04.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    12.04.2025 Inter Turku - Gnistan 3:0
    Latest results of SJK
    12.05.2025 SJK - VPS Vaasa 2:3
    02.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio - SJK 1:0
    28.04.2025 SJK - Haka 2:2
    23.04.2025 SJK - Oulu 3:1
    19.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - SJK 1:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1275026:91726
    2KuPS1482419:13626
    3Ilves1381430:151525
    4SJK1473427:21624
    5HJK1372428:141423
    6VPS1253420:17318
    7Gnistan1244416:18-216
    8Mariehamn1342714:29-1514
    9Haka1233614:22-812
    10Jaro1232712:18-611
    11KTP1223713:31-189
    12AC Oulu1322916:28-128

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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