Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn
Result
2:0
03/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.15
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
74% (319/431)78% (390/502)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.74
Total shots
189
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3621
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
917
Passes
74% (319/431)78% (390/502)
Long passes
44% (39/89)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
72% (114/159)64% (98/154)
Crosses
53% (10/19)9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.13
Throw-ins
1933
Fouls
179
Tackles
67% (14/21)70% (16/23)
Duels won
6460
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.741.08
Goals prevented
0.74-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Hanninen V. , Hafstad D. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, Hanninen V. , Eremenko R. (A),
  • 19', Kabashi A. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 35', Lindgren P. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Latonen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Patut E. , Andersson L. ,
  • 61', Enqvist D. , Nissinen J. ,
  • 65', Hafstad D. , Vayrynen T. ,
  • 77', Dahlstrom S. , Nunez W. ,
  • 77', Olawale M. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 80', Hanninen V. , Olufunwa O. ,

Chances of winning


Gnistan
60.3%
Draw
22.3%
IFK Mariehamn
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 23.3% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.53)
    4.26
    (4.29)
    5.4
    (5.79)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3.
    • Gnistan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mariehamn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mariehamn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gnistan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Gnistan is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Olufunwa O. (Inactive) Pettersson O. (Inactive) Raitala J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 4:0
    15.09.2024 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    21.08.2024 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    26.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan 1:1
    01.03.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan 0:0
    Latest results of Gnistan
    27.04.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    22.04.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    12.04.2025 Inter Turku - Gnistan 3:0
    05.04.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    28.03.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 4:0
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    27.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 3:2
    19.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - SJK 1:2
    12.04.2025 Haka - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS871016:41222
    2Inter Turku743016:61015
    3SJK842213:10314
    4Ilves740316:12412
    5VPS732211:12-111
    6HJK731313:8510
    7Gnistan731311:12-110
    8Mariehamn83149:14-510
    9Haka721410:13-37
    10Jaro72146:9-37
    11KTP71157:20-134
    12AC Oulu810711:19-83

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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