Result
2:4
28/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.57 | 2.79 |
Ball Possession |
---|
28% | 72% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 27 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 11 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
69% (137/200) | 88% (477/539) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.57 | 2.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 3.38 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 27 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 17 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 53 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
69% (137/200) | 88% (477/539) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (21/52) | 59% (35/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
51% (36/71) | 88% (219/250) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.54 | 1.30 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 59% (10/17) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 1 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.38 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.62 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Bashkirov E. 🟥,
- 38', 0 - 1, Michel B. ⚽, Kanellopoulos G. (A),
- 41', Kallinen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 54', 0 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽, Kanellopoulos G. (A),
- 57', 1 - 2, Europaeus G. ⚽,
- 60', Kabashi A. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Michel B. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
- 67', Europaeus G. 🟨,
- 67', Raitala J. 🟨,
- 69', Pukki T. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 69', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
- 73', Latonen J. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 4, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 75', Latonen J. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 75', Heiskanen S. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 79', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 79', Michel B. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 80', Pettersson O. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 80', Europaeus G. ↓, von Hellens L. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 4, Atarah A. ⚽, Hanninen V. (A),
- 83', Tikkanen V. 🟨,
- 88', Hostikka S. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan 20.3% | Draw 23.1% | HJK 56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Gnistan - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.6 ↑ (4.15) |
4.05 ↑ (3.87) |
1.68 ↓ (1.77) |
6.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Gnistan - HJK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Gnistan (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(40 of 44 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.42% – 99.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HJK will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
- Gnistan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, HJK is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Arko-Mensah E.
(Yellow Cards)
Craninx A.
(Red Card)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Ritari M.
(Loan agreement)
- There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Moller L.
(Inactive)
O'Shaughnessy D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.4:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:18. (average 0.3:4.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against HJK?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Gnistan?
HJK has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - HJK were as follows:
22.04.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
11.01.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
0:1
12.06.2024
Gnistan
-
HJK
0:4
22.05.2024
HJK
-
Gnistan
1:0
03.02.2024
Gnistan
-
HJK
1:2
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 36:13 | 23 | 37 |
2 | Ilves ✔ | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | HJK | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 32 |
4 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
5 | SJK | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
6 | VPS | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 20 |
7 | Gnistan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
8 | Mariehamn | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Jaro | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 16 |
10 | Haka | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 16 |
11 | AC Oulu | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 15 |
12 | KTP | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21:40 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Which TV channels are streaming of Gnistan - HJK?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |