HJK vs Gnistan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga HJK - Gnistan
Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
HJK - Gnistan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.91
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
85% (460/540)80% (302/379)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.96
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
3327
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
76
Passes
85% (460/540)80% (302/379)
Long passes
50% (33/66)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
75% (96/128)67% (86/129)
Crosses
33% (7/21)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.68
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
67
Tackles
69% (9/13)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4131
Clearances
3620
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.960.84
Goals prevented
-1.04-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lingman L. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Hafstad D. ,
  • 32', Gnanou R. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Pukki T. , Hostikka S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Michel B. , Moller L. ,
  • 47', Hafstad D. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Eremenko R. , Pettersson O. (A),
  • 66', Kallinen J. , Mentu P. ,
  • 67', Hafstad D. , Latonen J. ,
  • 76', Heiskanen S. , Hanninen V. ,
  • 76', Hostikka S. , Besuijen V. ,
  • 76', Lingman L. , Tahiri A. ,
  • 83', Olufunwa O. , Raitala J. ,
  • 85', Lyons-Foster B. , Kouassivi-Benissan K. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Vayrynen T. ,
  • 90+4', Vayrynen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HJK
71.3%
Draw
17.1%
Gnistan
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 16.3% 12.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • HJK - Gnistan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.29)
    5.55
    (5.6)
    8.46
    (7.2)
    5.1%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for HJK - Gnistan?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Gnistan will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 6)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 3.
    • HJK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gnistan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in HJK: Ost J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Oura A. A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in HJK: Ricardo Friedrich (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, HJK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Gnistan were as follows:
    28.07.2025 Gnistan - HJK 2:4
    22.04.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    11.01.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    12.06.2024 Gnistan - HJK 0:4
    22.05.2024 HJK - Gnistan 1:0
    Latest results of HJK
    29.09.2025 HJK - Ilves 2:2
    23.09.2025 Inter Turku - HJK 0:0
    20.09.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 1:0
    13.09.2025 SJK - HJK 3:3
    31.08.2025 KTP Kotka - HJK 1:4
    Latest results of Gnistan
    27.09.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 0:4
    23.09.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 3:2
    13.09.2025 Gnistan - Inter Turku 0:2
    31.08.2025 Gnistan - FF Jaro 1:2
    25.08.2025 Gnistan - Oulu 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ilves26164657:352252
    2Inter Turku25148349:222750
    3KuPS25155548:291950
    4SJK26146654:391548
    5HJK26145766:372947
    6Gnistan26871139:50-1131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of HJK - Gnistan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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