Gnistan vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - HJK
Result
2:4
28/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Gnistan - HJK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.79
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1027
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
69% (137/200)88% (477/539)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.853.38
Total shots
1027
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
317
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1753
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
710
Passes
69% (137/200)88% (477/539)
Long passes
40% (21/52)59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
51% (36/71)88% (219/250)
Crosses
18% (2/11)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.30
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
107
Tackles
69% (11/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4346
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
151
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
3.380.85
Goals prevented
-0.62-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Bashkirov E. 🟥,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Michel B. , Kanellopoulos G. (A),
  • 41', Kallinen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 54', 0 - 2, Hostikka S. , Kanellopoulos G. (A),
  • 57', 1 - 2, Europaeus G. ,
  • 60', Kabashi A. , Hanninen V. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Michel B. , Hostikka S. (A),
  • 67', Europaeus G. 🟨,
  • 67', Raitala J. 🟨,
  • 69', Pukki T. , Meriluoto K. ,
  • 69', Kouassivi-Benissan K. , Ylitolva M. ,
  • 73', Latonen J. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 4, Meriluoto K. , Mentu P. (A),
  • 75', Latonen J. , Hafstad D. ,
  • 75', Heiskanen S. , Atarah A. ,
  • 79', Kanellopoulos G. , Lingman L. ,
  • 79', Michel B. , Besuijen V. ,
  • 80', Pettersson O. , Gunes O. ,
  • 80', Europaeus G. , von Hellens L. ,
  • 81', 2 - 4, Atarah A. , Hanninen V. (A),
  • 83', Tikkanen V. 🟨,
  • 88', Hostikka S. , Lyons-Foster B. ,

Chances of winning


Gnistan
20.3%
Draw
23.1%
HJK
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 24.3% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 23.8% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Gnistan - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.6
    (4.15)
    4.05
    (3.87)
    1.68
    (1.77)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Gnistan - HJK?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Gnistan (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: HJK will win (40 of 44 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.42%99.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HJK will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
    • Gnistan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • HJK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, HJK is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Arko-Mensah E. (Yellow Cards) Craninx A. (Red Card) Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Ritari M. (Loan agreement)
    • There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Inactive) Moller L. (Inactive) O'Shaughnessy D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gnistan: Eremenko R. (Inactive) Hanninen V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.4:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:18. (average 0.3:4.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - HJK were as follows:
    22.04.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    11.01.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    12.06.2024 Gnistan - HJK 0:4
    22.05.2024 HJK - Gnistan 1:0
    03.02.2024 Gnistan - HJK 1:2
    Latest results of Gnistan
    20.07.2025 SJK - Gnistan 3:1
    13.07.2025 Gnistan - Haka 2:0
    07.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Gnistan 0:0
    01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 6:2
    27.06.2025 Gnistan - Inter Turku 2:2
    Latest results of HJK
    24.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali - HJK 0:0
    20.07.2025 HJK - Oulu 3:1
    17.07.2025 HJK - NSÍ Runavík 5:0
    10.07.2025 NSÍ Runavík - HJK 4:0
    05.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - HJK 0:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 17107036:132337
    2Ilves ✔ 17112437:191835
    3HJK17102539:201932
    4KuPS1794428:181031
    5SJK1784532:27528
    6VPS1755726:27-120
    7Gnistan1755723:31-820
    8Mariehamn1745816:32-1617
    9Jaro1744919:27-816
    10Haka1744919:30-1116
    11AC Oulu17431023:35-1215
    12KTP1735921:40-1914

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Gnistan - HJK?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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