Gnistan vs Haka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - Haka
Result
2:0
13/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Gnistan - Haka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.31
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
65% (140/215)86% (435/503)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.04
Total shots
917
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
159
Passes
65% (140/215)86% (435/503)
Long passes
44% (28/63)66% (31/47)
Passes in final third
56% (57/101)81% (154/189)
Crosses
17% (4/23)26% (11/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.92
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
915
Tackles
30% (3/10)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
3928
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.041.58
Goals prevented
0.04-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Craninx A. 🟥,
  • 16', Latonen J. , Lyberopoulos O. ,
  • 21', Sejdiu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Friberg N. , Gianini Dantas N. ,
  • 51', Heiskanen S. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Pettersson O. , Vayrynen T. (A),
  • 62', Sejdiu A. , Lucas Cini ,
  • 62', Sallinen O. , Multanen K. ,
  • 62', Hudd R. , Da Sylva J. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Vayrynen T. (Pen),
  • 73', Talo N. 🟨,
  • 76', Heiskanen S. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 76', Kabashi A. , Hafstad D. ,
  • 83', Ritari M. , Olufunwa O. ,
  • 85', Houston J. , Purosalo V. ,

Chances of winning


Gnistan
43.6%
Draw
25.2%
Haka
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 25% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 23.8% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gnistan - Haka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.3)
    3.69
    (3.73)
    3.05
    (2.71)
    6.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Gnistan - Haka?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Haka will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 15.1%58.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Haka (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1.
    • Recent performances by Gnistan have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Haka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gnistan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R. (Inactive) Hanninen V. (Inactive) Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Haka: Almen M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.4:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Haka were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    05.04.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    23.02.2025 Haka - Gnistan 2:2
    26.10.2024 Haka - Gnistan 4:3
    28.07.2024 Haka - Gnistan 1:2
    Latest results of Gnistan
    07.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Gnistan 0:0
    01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 6:2
    27.06.2025 Gnistan - Inter Turku 2:2
    18.06.2025 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:0
    14.06.2025 Gnistan - KTP Kotka 2:1
    Latest results of Haka
    06.07.2025 Haka - Inter Turku 0:1
    02.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - Haka 1:2
    28.06.2025 Haka - Ilves 0:4
    24.06.2025 Haka - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    18.06.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1596030:102033
    2KuPS1693427:171030
    3Ilves1592433:171629
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6Gnistan1555520:24-420
    7VPS1453621:21018
    8Mariehamn1544715:30-1516
    9Jaro1543817:24-715
    10Haka1543816:26-1015
    11AC Oulu1533921:32-1112
    12KTP1524916:36-2010

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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