FF Jaro vs Gnistan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga FF Jaro - Gnistan
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
FF Jaro - Gnistan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.01
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
60% (178/297)55% (148/270)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.20
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
60% (178/297)55% (148/270)
Long passes
40% (36/90)39% (33/84)
Passes in final third
47% (53/112)40% (40/99)
Crosses
36% (5/14)50% (11/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.53
Throw-ins
2838
Fouls
1713
Tackles
53% (10/19)74% (17/23)
Duels won
6575
Clearances
4040
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.200.55
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Cissoko K. , Gunnarsson E. (A),
  • 30', Kabashi A. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Hafstad D. , Vayrynen T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Hanninen V. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 62', Valencic F. , Bjorkskog A. ,
  • 69', Hafstad D. , Vauhkonen E. ,
  • 72', Latonen J. 🟨,
  • 75', Europaeus G. 🟨,
  • 81', Eremenko S. , Vidjeskog A. ,
  • 86', Latonen J. , Atarah A. ,

Chances of winning


FF Jaro
30.5%
Draw
28.1%
Gnistan
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 27% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.6% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • FF Jaro - Gnistan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (3.01)
    3.38
    (3.52)
    2.29
    (2.29)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for FF Jaro - Gnistan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gnistan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 1.
    • Jaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gnistan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Pettersson O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Jaro: Sotelo G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gnistan: Olufunwa O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:15. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FF Jaro - Gnistan were as follows:
    20.08.2023 Gnistan - FF Jaro 1:1
    19.07.2023 FF Jaro - Gnistan 2:2
    Latest results of FF Jaro
    17.05.2025 VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro 0:0
    11.05.2025 FF Jaro - HJK 0:3
    02.05.2025 Haka - FF Jaro 0:1
    26.04.2025 FF Jaro - KTP Kotka 2:3
    19.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro 1:0
    Latest results of Gnistan
    16.05.2025 Gnistan - SJK 2:2
    10.05.2025 Oulu - Gnistan 2:3
    03.05.2025 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    27.04.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    22.04.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS1172216:9723
    2Inter Turku963018:61221
    3Ilves1061321:12919
    4HJK1052321:101117
    5SJK1143417:17015
    6VPS942314:14014
    7Haka932412:14-211
    8Gnistan932412:15-311
    9Mariehamn1032511:20-911
    10Jaro92257:11-48
    11KTP91359:22-136
    12AC Oulu1012713:21-85

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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