Gillingham vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Gillingham - Swindon Town
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Gillingham - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.42
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
53% (143/269)69% (265/382)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.37
Total shots
98
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
53% (143/269)69% (265/382)
Long passes
17% (13/78)32% (25/77)
Passes in final third
40% (37/93)54% (61/112)
Crosses
25% (4/16)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.28
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (8/12)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5562
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.370.72
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gale S. 🟨,
  • 45', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Nevitt E. , Gbode J. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ,
  • 64', Dack B. , Corness D. ,
  • 67', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Wright W. ,
  • 70', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 77', Nichols T. , Westley J. ,
  • 77', Tshimanga K. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 78', Kirkman B. , Ameen B. ,
  • 78', Glatzel P. 🟨,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 83', McKenzie R. , Coleman E. ,
  • 83', Rowe A. , Morgan J. ,
  • 90+4', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Freckleton M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Williams J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gillingham
33.6%
Draw
28.5%
Swindon Town
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 25.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 26.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gillingham - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.12)
    3.28
    (3.65)
    2.5
    (3.1)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Swindon Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Williams E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Ehmer M. (Inactive) Hawkins O. (Injury) Little A. (Injury) Smith A. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:16 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Swindon Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Swindon Town - Gillingham 1:1
    13.02.2024 Gillingham - Swindon Town 2:2
    24.10.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 0:1
    28.01.2023 Swindon Town - Gillingham 3:3
    03.09.2022 Gillingham - Swindon Town 0:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
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