Rochdale vs Gillingham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Rochdale - Gillingham
Result
0:2
18/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 33
Rochdale - Gillingham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Rochdale
30.8%
Draw
30.3%
Gillingham
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 32.4% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 31.7% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gillingham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rochdale - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.63)
    3.1
    (2.88)
    2.42
    (2.9)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rochdale - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (49.9%), has project points - 37, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Gillingham has the most likely position - 22 (20.27%), has project points - 46, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 7, importance 44, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0.
    • Rochdale has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gillingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-24.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.
    Latest results of Rochdale
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grimsby11003:033
    2Crewe11003:123
    3Fleetwood11002:023
    4Walsall11002:113
    5Chesterfield11001:013
    6Cambridge Utd11001:013
    7Harrogate11001:013
    8Colchester10101:101
    9Gillingham10101:101
    10Tranmere10101:101
    11Accrington10101:101
    12Notts Co10101:101
    13Newport10101:101
    14Oldham10100:001
    15MK Dons10100:001
    16Shrewsbury10100:001
    17Bromley10100:001
    18Swindon10011:2-10
    19Bristol Rovers10010:1-10
    20Cheltenham10010:1-10
    21Barrow10010:1-10
    22Salford10011:3-20
    23Barnet10010:2-20
    24Crawley10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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