Port Vale vs Gillingham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Port Vale - Gillingham
Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Port Vale - Gillingham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.23
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
82% (357/437)66% (155/234)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.14
Total shots
137
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
365
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
82% (357/437)66% (155/234)
Long passes
47% (26/55)25% (15/60)
Passes in final third
63% (89/141)44% (22/50)
Crosses
45% (10/22)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.22
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
1117
Tackles
40% (6/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
6552
Clearances
1043
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.140.33
Goals prevented
-0.860.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 1, Rowe A. , Williams E. (A),
  • 57', Smith N. , Stockley J. ,
  • 57', Croasdale R. , Richards R. ,
  • 62', Williams E. , Dack B. ,
  • 62', Morgan J. , Coleman E. ,
  • 63', Corness D. , Khumbeni N. ,
  • 67', Hutton R. 🟨,
  • 69', Rowe A. , Ogie S. ,
  • 77', Walters R. , Hackford A. ,
  • 77', Curtis R. , Harper R. ,
  • 81', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 81', Agbinone A. , Andrews J. ,
  • 84', Headley J. , Shorrock J. ,
  • 86', McKenzie R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Port Vale
63.8%
Draw
22.6%
Gillingham
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 24.3% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 23.6% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Port Vale - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.59)
    4.15
    (3.85)
    6.82
    (5.52)
    5.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Port Vale - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
    • Port Vale is Qualified for League One
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Port Vale is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Gbode J. (Red Card) Williams J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Hart S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Ehmer M. (Inactive) Hawkins O. (Injury) Little A. (Injury) Nevitt E. (Injury) Smith A. (Injury) Williams E. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Gillingham were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Gillingham - Port Vale 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2
    21.04.2025 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 2:2
    12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0
    05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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