Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)
Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.200.25
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
62% (178/286)69% (259/374)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.200.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.00
Total shots
84
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
1312
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
62% (178/286)69% (259/374)
Long passes
29% (21/73)35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
52% (63/121)48% (47/98)
Crosses
23% (6/26)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.22
Fouls
1318
Tackles
55% (12/22)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6561
Clearances Total
3439
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.17
Goals prevented
0.00-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Williams E. , Gbode J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Rowe A. , Dack B. ,
  • 64', Sanders J. 🟨,
  • 65', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 67', Hendry C. , White J. ,
  • 77', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
  • 81', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 83', Hutton R. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 83', Gbode J. , Clarke J. ,
  • 84', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
  • 86', Gilbey A. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 86', Thompson-Sommers K. , Kelly L. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Dack B. , Masterson C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
44.3%
Draw
28%
Milton Keynes Dons
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 27.7% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 28% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gillingham that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.38)
    3.35
    (3.4)
    3.4
    (2.88)
    6.1%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2.
    • Recent matches Gillingham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • MK Dons is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gillingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury) White J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Dack B. (Inactive) Ehmer M. (Inactive) Rowe A. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:26 (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:14 (average 2.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 0:1
    27.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 2:1
    07.10.2023 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
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