Gillingham vs Colchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham).

: League Two - Round 40
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.77	0.31
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	1
Passes
76% (321/423)	64% (174/274)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.89	0.74
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
13	1
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	1
Touches in opposition box
44	6
Through passes
100% (1/1)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
14	6
Passes
76% (321/423)	64% (174/274)
Long passes
43% (37/87)	29% (26/89)
Passes in final third
69% (120/173)	48% (40/84)
Crosses
13% (6/48)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.78	0.39
Fouls
6	14
Tackles
90% (9/10)	81% (17/21)
Duels won
58	66
Clearances Total
13	66
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.74	1.89
Goals prevented
-0.26	0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Payne J. ⚽, Edwards O. (A),
25', Edwards O. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
39', Payne J. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
45+8', Hunt R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Iandolo E. 🟨,
51', Simpson T. 🟨,
69', Gbode J. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
75', Thorn O. 🟨,
77', Egbo M. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Clark M. (Pen),
81', Clarke J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
88', Scully A. ↓, Jollife M. ↑,
88', Thorn O. ↓, Aboh K. ↑,
90', Nevitt E. ↓, Wakeling J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Gillingham
33.2%

Draw
31.4%

Colchester United
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.9%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Gillingham - Colchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.71)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	2.67 ↑ (2.57)	6.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Gillingham - Colchester United?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 13.8% – 69.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Gillingham: Agbinone A. (Inactive) Andrews J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Colchester: Oni M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Injury) Bishop T. (Inactive) Tovide S. (Inactive)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:22 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Colchester United?

Gillingham has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Gillingham?

Colchester United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Colchester United were as follows:

26.12.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:0

01.01.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:1

26.08.2023 Gillingham - Colchester United 0:3

21.01.2023 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:2

26.12.2022 Gillingham - Colchester United 0:1

Latest results of Gillingham

29.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Gillingham - Bradford City 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Colchester United

28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Bradford City - Colchester United 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Colchester United - Fleetwood Town 3:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
2	Fleetwood	2	2	0	0	4:1	3	6
3	Chesterfield	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
5	Grimsby	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
6	MK Dons	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
7	Bromley	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
8	Harrogate	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
9	Newport	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Gillingham	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
11	Swindon	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
12	Cambridge Utd	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
13	Walsall	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
14	Salford	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
15	Colchester	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
16	Oldham	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
17	Notts Co	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
18	Accrington	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
19	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	0:4	-4	1
20	Bristol Rovers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
21	Cheltenham	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
23	Crawley	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
24	Barnet	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Gillingham - Colchester United?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+