Gillingham vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Gillingham - Chesterfield
Result
4:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Gillingham - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.090.47
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
52% (106/204)80% (400/501)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
3.090.47
xG on target (xGOT)
3.130.26
Total shots
118
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
52% (106/204)80% (400/501)
Long passes
33% (23/69)49% (50/103)
Passes in final third
38% (38/101)68% (110/162)
Crosses
27% (3/11)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.04
Throw-ins
2434
Fouls
1513
Tackles
53% (9/17)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5260
Clearances
3135
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.263.13
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
  • 37', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Cirino L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Little A. (Pen),
  • 53', 2 - 1, Dobra A. , Grigg W. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 1, Cirino L. , Morris G. (A),
  • 62', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
  • 68', Cirino L. , Rowe A. ,
  • 69', Grigg W. , Bonis L. ,
  • 70', Daley-Campbell V. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 70', Naylor T. , Fleck J. ,
  • 71', Coleman E. 🟨,
  • 73', Nevitt E. 🟨,
  • 77', Darcy R. , Duffy D. ,
  • 81', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 81', Nevitt E. , Wyllie M. ,
  • 87', Williams J. , Dack B. ,
  • 87', Little A. , Khumbeni N. ,
  • 88', Gordon L. , Lewis A. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Wyllie M. , Khumbeni N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
34.4%
Draw
31.3%
Chesterfield
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 26.9% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 26.4% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Gillingham - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.55)
    3.16
    (3.29)
    2.95
    (2.31)
    1.1%
    (12.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 41%80.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Clark M. (Red Card) Masterson C. (Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Tanton D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury) Vokes S. (Broken Hand)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Chesterfield were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1
    31.08.2024 Gillingham - Chesterfield 1:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    12.08.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    26.07.2025 Dartford - Gillingham 0:2
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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