Result
0:3
19/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/405) | 67% (158/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/405) | 67% (158/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (45/70) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/125) | 51% (37/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Correia F. ⚽,
- 25', Mutombo J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Encarnacao R. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Toure T. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 55', Aguirre J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Pablo ⚽,
- 67', Fujimoto K. ↓, Elimbi M. G. ↑,
- 67', Caseres F. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 74', Yamada F. ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 74', Jose Gomes ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 75', Bamba M. A. 🟨,
- 81', 0 - 3, Correia F. (Pen),
- 86', Paulinho Boia ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 86', Esteves L. ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 86', Correia F. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
- 90+7', Pablo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional
39.2% | Draw
30.7% | Gil Vicente
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Nacional - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.4) |
3.04 ↓
(3.19) |
3.14 ↑
(3.07) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional - Gil Vicente?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1.
- Recent matches Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gil Vicente is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Gil Vicente have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Gil Vicente?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Nacional?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Gil Vicente were as follows:
07.12.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Nacional
2:1
27.11.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Nacional
2:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 86:27 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 83:27 | 56 | 79 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62:30 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Braga | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54:29 | 25 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 34:31 | 3 | 54 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 45 |
| 9 | Estoril | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:55 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39:50 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | Arouca | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 35 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32:47 | -15 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 16 | AFS | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25:57 | -32 | 27 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24:44 | -20 | 27 |
| 18 | Boavista | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23:55 | -32 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional - Gil Vicente?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
