Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 1.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (451/550) | 72% (224/312) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 1.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.86 | 2.51 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (451/550) | 72% (224/312) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (13/48) | 42% (21/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (106/159) | 62% (45/73) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (10/25) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 59% (10/17) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.51 | 0.86 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.51 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Gorby 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gorby ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 46', Victor P. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
- 50', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 55', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 55', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 59', Pablo 🟨,
- 65', Navarro F. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 70', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 70', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 73', Konan G. 🟨,
- 80', Oliveira P. ↓, Horta R. ↑,
- 80', Esteves L. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 90+7', Niakate S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga 48.1% | Draw 28.9% | Gil Vicente 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gil Vicente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+18.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gil Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Braga - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (1.46) |
3.74 ↓ (4.29) |
4.69 ↓ (6.62) |
-9.6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Braga - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 59.8% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 3.
- Braga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gil Vicente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Toure T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Braga: Dorgeles M.
(Inactive)
Horta R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Gil Vicente?
Braga has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Braga?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Gil Vicente were as follows:
09.02.2025
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
2:0
01.09.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Braga
0:0
16.03.2024
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
28.10.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Braga
3:3
16.04.2023
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:1 | 14 | 18 |
2 | Sporting CP | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 15 |
3 | Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 13 |
5 | Moreirense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
6 | Famalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Santa Clara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
10 | Arouca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
11 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Estoril | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Estrela | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
14 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
15 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Rio Ave | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
17 | Tondela | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
18 | AFS | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Braga - Gil Vicente?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Africa | ZAP |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Sportklub |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |