Braga vs Gil Vicente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Braga - Gil Vicente
Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 5
  • Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
Braga - Gil Vicente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.39
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
82% (451/550)72% (224/312)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.862.51
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
117
Passes
82% (451/550)72% (224/312)
Long passes
27% (13/48)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
67% (106/159)62% (45/73)
Crosses
40% (10/25)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.84
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
712
Tackles
64% (7/11)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
2435
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
2.510.86
Goals prevented
1.510.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Gorby 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Pablo , Moreira A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gorby , Gabriel Moscardo ,
  • 46', Victor P. , Zalazar R. ,
  • 50', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 55', Moreira A. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 55', Garcia S. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 59', Pablo 🟨,
  • 65', Navarro F. , Grillitsch F. ,
  • 70', Pablo , Varela G. ,
  • 70', Murilo de Souza , Bermejo ,
  • 73', Konan G. 🟨,
  • 80', Oliveira P. , Horta R. ,
  • 80', Esteves L. , Espigares A. ,
  • 90+7', Niakate S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Braga
48.1%
Draw
28.9%
Gil Vicente
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 21.8% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4% 21% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.
  • Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gil Vicente's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gil Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Braga - Gil Vicente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.46)
    3.74
    (4.29)
    4.69
    (6.62)
    -9.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Braga - Gil Vicente?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 59.8%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 3.
    • Braga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gil Vicente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Carlos Eduardo (Inactive) Toure T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Dorgeles M. (Inactive) Horta R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Gil Vicente were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Braga - Gil Vicente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Gil Vicente - Braga 0:0
    16.03.2024 Braga - Gil Vicente 2:1
    28.10.2023 Gil Vicente - Braga 3:3
    16.04.2023 Braga - Gil Vicente 1:0
    Latest results of Braga
    31.08.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:2
    28.08.2025 Braga - Lincoln Red Imps 5:1
    24.08.2025 Braga - AVS 2:2
    21.08.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Braga 0:4
    17.08.2025 Alverca - Braga 0:3
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    29.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 2:0
    24.08.2025 Famalicão - Gil Vicente 0:0
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    09.08.2025 Nacional - Gil Vicente 0:2
    25.07.2025 Gil Vicente - Brentford 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto660015:11418
    2Sporting CP650118:41415
    3Benfica541010:2813
    4Gil Vicente64117:2513
    5Moreirense64028:7112
    6Famalicao63217:3411
    7Braga623111:659
    8Vitoria Guimaraes62227:9-28
    9Santa Clara62224:6-28
    10Arouca62229:14-58
    11Casa Pia62135:9-47
    12Estoril61238:10-25
    13Estrela60423:6-34
    14Nacional61145:10-54
    15Alverca61146:11-54
    16Rio Ave50327:12-53
    17Tondela60242:10-82
    18AFS60154:14-101

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Braga - Gil Vicente?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    serbiaSerbiaSportklub
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
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