France W vs Germany W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women France W - Germany W
Result
1:2 penalties
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
France W - Germany W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.13
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
85% (558/655)52% (119/231)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.581.24
Total shots
177
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
4210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
71
Free Kicks
2624
Passes
85% (558/655)52% (119/231)
Long passes
50% (19/38)30% (27/89)
Passes in final third
74% (164/221)34% (22/65)
Crosses
32% (12/37)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.15
Throw-ins
3922
Fouls
2426
Tackles
50% (9/18)44% (16/36)
Duels won
7288
Clearances
2348
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
1.242.58
Goals prevented
0.241.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Hendrich K. 🟥,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Geyoro G. (Pen),
  • 16', Wuck C. 🟨,
  • 19', Diani K. 🟨,
  • 20', Linder S. , Kleinherne S. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Nusken S. , Buhl K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Brand J. 🟨,
  • 67', Diani K. , Baltimore S. ,
  • 69', Nusken S. (Pen),
  • 75', Nusken S. 🟨,
  • 76', Katoto M-A. , Mateo C. ,
  • 76', Cascarino D. , Malard M. ,
  • 85', Mbock G. , Sombath A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 98', Hoffmann G. , Schuller L. ,
  • 101', Kett F. 🟨,
  • 112', De Almeida E. , N'Dongala M. ,
  • 112', Geyoro G. , Majri A. ,
  • 114', Kett F. , Cerci S. ,
  • 115', Lakrar M. 🟨,
  • 120', Brand J. , Dallmann L. ,
  • 120', Senss E. , Dabritz S. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Minge J. (Pen),
  • 1, Majri A. (Pen),
  • 2, Dallmann L. (Pen),
  • 2, Karchaoui S. (Pen),
  • 3, Knaak R. (Pen),
  • 3, Malard M. (Pen),
  • 4, Dabritz S. (Pen),
  • 4, Baltimore S. (Pen),
  • 5, Berger A. (Pen),
  • 5, Jean-Francois O. (Pen),
  • 6, Buhl K. (Pen),
  • 6, N'Dongala M. (Pen),
  • 7, Nusken S. (Pen),
  • 7, Sombath A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


France W
42.9%
Draw
27.5%
Germany W
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.2% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.4% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for France W have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Germany W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for France W than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany W than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • France W - Germany W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.21)
    3.45
    (3.36)
    3.23
    (3.28)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for France W - Germany W?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Germany will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for France: 38.6%83.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - France (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): France W will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 2.
    • France has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Germany is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Germany may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • France might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, France won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between France W - Germany W were as follows:
    23.02.2024 France W - Germany W 2:1
    07.10.2022 Germany W - France W 2:1
    Latest results of France W
    13.07.2025 Netherlands W - France W 2:5
    09.07.2025 France W - Wales W 4:1
    05.07.2025 France W - England W 2:1
    27.06.2025 France W - Brazil W 3:2
    20.06.2025 France W - Belgium W 5:0
    Latest results of Germany W
    12.07.2025 Sweden W - Germany W 4:1
    08.07.2025 Germany W - Denmark W 2:1
    04.07.2025 Germany W - Poland W 2:0
    03.06.2025 Austria W - Germany W 0:6
    30.05.2025 Germany W - Netherlands W 4:0
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of France W - Germany W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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