Napoli vs Genoa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Napoli - Genoa
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 6
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
Napoli - Genoa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.44
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
84% (463/553)68% (164/242)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.46
Total shots
126
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
288
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
84% (463/553)68% (164/242)
Long passes
47% (26/55)27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
68% (98/144)54% (29/54)
Crosses
38% (8/21)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.60
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
1615
Tackles
46% (6/13)100% (15/15)
Duels won
5146
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.461.58
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Ekhator J. , Norton-Cuffy B. (A),
  • 38', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
  • 44', Lobotka S. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Marcandalli A. , Otoa S. ,
  • 50', Olivera M. , Spinazzola L. ,
  • 50', Politano M. , De Bruyne K. ,
  • 55', David Neres 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Anguissa F. ,
  • 61', Ekhator J. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 61', Malinovskyi R. , Thorsby M. ,
  • 63', Otoa S. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. ,
  • 76', Sabelli S. , Carboni V. ,
  • 76', Vitinha , Colombo L. ,
  • 82', Hojlund R. , Lucca L. ,
  • 82', David Neres , Gutierrez M. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
65.1%
Draw
23.6%
Genoa
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 22.3% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 21.8% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Napoli - Genoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    4.06
    (4.28)
    8.63
    (7.82)
    4.2%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Genoa?
  • Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 70 - 85.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 77.8%93%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Napoli (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
    • Napoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Genoa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury) Contini N. (Hand Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Muscle Injury) Junior Messias (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Onana J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Genoa were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2
    21.12.2024 Genoa - Napoli 1:2
    17.02.2024 Napoli - Genoa 1:1
    16.09.2023 Genoa - Napoli 2:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    01.10.2025 Napoli - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    22.09.2025 Napoli - Pisa 3:2
    18.09.2025 Manchester City - Napoli 2:0
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    Latest results of Genoa
    29.09.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:3
    25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1
    31.08.2025 Genoa - Juventus 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Genoa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    franceFranceDAZN France
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryMatch 4
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
    kuwaitKuwaitShasha
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV6
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
    russiaRussiaMatch TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Football
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