Genk vs Charleroi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Genk - Charleroi
Result
0:1
17/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Round 5
Genk - Charleroi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.03
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (523/590)71% (197/279)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.53
Total shots
169
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
89% (523/590)71% (197/279)
Long passes
74% (43/58)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
77% (167/218)60% (55/92)
Crosses
19% (8/43)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.39
Throw-ins
3417
Fouls
1111
Tackles
64% (7/11)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
2152
Interceptions
312
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.530.85
Goals prevented
0.530.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Scheidler A. , Blum L. (A),
  • 21', Romsaas J. , Pflucke P. ,
  • 44', Guiagon P. , Nzita M. ,
  • 45+1', Camara E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Blum L. 🟨,
  • 62', Oh Hyeon-Gyu , Mirisola R. ,
  • 62', Ito J. , Hrosovsky P. ,
  • 62', Bangoura I. , Erabi J. ,
  • 69', Blum L. , Van Den Kerkhof K. ,
  • 69', Gaudin J. , Boukamir M. ,
  • 69', Bernier A. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 78', Kayembe J. , Medina Y. ,
  • 89', Adedeji-Sternberg N. , Palacios A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3fhc9ju3

Chances of winning


Genk
58%
Draw
23.1%
Charleroi
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 23.2% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 19.9% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Genk - Charleroi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.59)
    4.1
    (4.1)
    5.08
    (5.65)
    5.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Genk - Charleroi?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 72.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 2.
    • Genk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charleroi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Genk is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Genk: Heymans D. (Ankle Injury) Pierre K. (Injury) Van Crombrugge H. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:25. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Charleroi were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Charleroi - Genk 1:1
    23.11.2024 Genk - Charleroi 3:0
    06.07.2024 Genk - Charleroi 3:3
    23.02.2024 Charleroi - Genk 0:1
    20.08.2023 Genk - Charleroi 0:0
    Latest results of Genk
    14.09.2025 Anderlecht - Genk 1:1
    31.08.2025 Genk - Zulte Waregem 3:2
    28.08.2025 Genk - Lech Poznań 1:2
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2
    Latest results of Charleroi
    14.09.2025 Cercle Brugge - Charleroi 2:3
    30.08.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 3:1
    17.08.2025 Charleroi - Royal Antwerp 1:1
    03.08.2025 Charleroi - Sint-Truidense 1:1
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG862017:41320
    2Anderlecht842213:8514
    3Club Brugge KV842214:10414
    4St. Truiden842211:9214
    5KV Mechelen834110:8213
    6Charleroi833212:10212
    7Gent832311:10111
    8St. Liege83238:10-211
    9Westerlo831416:18-210
    10Waregem831411:13-210
    11RAAL La Louviere83147:9-210
    12Antwerp82429:9010
    13Cercle Brugge KSV823310:919
    14Genk822410:12-28
    15Leuven82157:16-97
    16Dender80262:13-112

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

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