Result
0:0
12/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Super Lig - Round 16
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (305/390) | 82% (335/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (305/390) | 82% (335/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (62/104) | 56% (39/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Pereira P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Koita S. ↓, Varesanovic D. ↑,
- 71', Barasi Y. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
- 74', Espinoza J. ↓, Winck C. ↑,
- 76', Gurpuz G. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
- 77', Dele-Bashiru T. 🟨,
- 81', Niang M. 🟨,
- 81', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 86', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
- 87', Diabate F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 90+2', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
36.5% | Draw
28.5% | Gençlerbirliği
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gençlerbirliği's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kasımpaşa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gençlerbirliği, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.07) |
3.32 ↓
(3.33) |
2.72 ↓
(3.58) |
5.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği?
- Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 49.7% – 86.3%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH -0.25 - Gençlerbirliği (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.75 - Gençlerbirliği (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Kasımpaşa (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kasımpaşa (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kasımpaşa will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Gençlerbirliği (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 3.
- Recent form of Kasımpaşa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gençlerbirliği's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gençlerbirliği may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Albayrak E.
(Suspended)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Yanar A.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Durmaz E.
(Suspended)
Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Ulgun O.
(Yellow Cards)
Unal E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Cafu
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G.
(Injury)
Kemaloglu E.
(Knee Injury)
Ulgun O.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Gençlerbirliği?
Kasımpaşa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Kasımpaşa?
Gençlerbirliği has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
19.12.2024
Gençlerbirliği
-
Kasımpaşa
0:1
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 22 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 51:20 | 31 | 52 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Goztepe | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:12 | 15 | 41 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:27 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Samsunspor | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Genclerbirligi | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Antalyaspor | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 23 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 26:35 | -9 | 21 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 18:35 | -17 | 18 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 17:43 | -26 | 16 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18:39 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Which TV channels are streaming of Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
