Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats
Result
68:111
17/08/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 23
Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1016
Behinds
815
Kicks
192225
Handballs
155117
Disposals
347342
Frees For
1214
Frees Against
1412
Clearances Completed
4333
Marks
77114
Tackles
6263
Hitouts
4347

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (27 - 27)
  • 00:20, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 01:17, McLean H. (G),
  • 04:36, Heeney I. (G),
  • 06:16, McLean H. (Behind),
  • 07:43, Campbell B. (G),
  • 10:45, Ladhams P. (Behind),
  • 14:29, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 17:36, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 19:43, Neale S. (G),
  • 22:01, Humphries L. (Behind),
  • 22:32, Martin J. (G),
  • 25:00, Miers G. (G),
  • 27:31, Neale S. (G),
  • 29:53, Ladhams P. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (19 - 28)
  • 02:05, Buller J. (G),
  • 06:29, McCartin T. (G),
  • 07:35, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 08:58, Neale S. (G),
  • 12:08, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:19, Neale S. (G),
  • 15:48, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 18:19, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 22:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:21, Martin J. (G),
  • 29:17, Stengle T. (G),
  • 31:10, McLean H. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (8 - 25)
  • 01:07, Stengle T. (G),
  • 05:01, Buller J. (Behind),
  • 06:05, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 10:40, Ladhams P. (G),
  • 12:34, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 16:37, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 19:50, Blicavs M. (Behind),
  • 26:22, Papley T. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 31)
  • 00:39, Stengle T. (G),
  • 02:47, Lloyd J. (Behind),
  • 03:44, Blicavs M. (Behind),
  • 04:41, Papley T. (G),
  • 06:35, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 08:25, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 15:23, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 16:26, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 17:34, Miers G. (G),
  • 20:53, Martin J. (Behind),
  • 22:16, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 23:33, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:06, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 26:26, Papley T. (G),
  • 30:30, Cameron J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
30.1%
Geelong Cats
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 65.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.37)

    1.34
    (1.33)
    6.7%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-19)
  • What is the prediction for Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Geelong (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:96.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Geelong is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 3.21.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1626:1670. (average 81.3:83.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 936:787. (average 93.6:78.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    09.06.2024 Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats 112:82
    30.06.2023 Sydney Swans - Geelong Cats 54:54
    22.04.2023 Geelong Cats - Sydney Swans 130:37
    24.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Sydney Swans 133:52
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    AFL Table
    Main
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Brisbane Lions2316162061:1804114.2566
    4Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    5GWS Giants2316072114:1834115.2764
    6Fremantle Dockers2316071978:1815108.9864
    7Gold Coast Suns2315082173:1740124.8960
    8Hawthorn Hawks2315082045:1691120.9360
    9Western Bulldogs2314092493:1820136.9856
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2390141839:207788.5436
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2360171535:220969.4924
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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