Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Tokyo
Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Gamba Osaka - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.11
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
77% (225/292)83% (318/384)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.87
Total shots
147
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
77% (225/292)83% (318/384)
Long passes
38% (18/48)31% (11/36)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)57% (56/98)
Crosses
0% (0/13)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.41
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
1011
Tackles
63% (15/24)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.871.74
Goals prevented
0.87-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Abe S. 🟨,
  • 18', Shirai K. , Bangnagande K. ,
  • 32', Higashi K. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Usami T. ,
  • 40', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
  • 64', Yamashita R. , Juan Alano ,
  • 64', Lavi N. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 65', Higashi K. , Nagakura M. ,
  • 65', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 65', Tawaratsumida K. , Sato K. ,
  • 78', Usami T. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 78', Welton , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 84', Marcelo Ryan , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 85', Abe S. , Kurata S. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
50.7%
Draw
26.3%
Tokyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 27.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 24.6% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamba Osaka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2)
    3.62
    (3.47)
    4.08
    (3.91)
    5.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 42%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
    • Gamba Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Henrique Trevisan (Inactive) Kobayashi M. (Inactive) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Yamaguchi T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Tokyo were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    07.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 0:0
    26.05.2024 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    01.10.2023 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    11.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 3:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Tokyo
    18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1
    14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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