Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga
Result
2:1
29/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 13
Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.23
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
66% (200/303)75% (336/449)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.751.12
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
66% (200/303)75% (336/449)
Long passes
20% (12/61)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
62% (62/100)60% (103/173)
Crosses
15% (2/13)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.03
Throw-ins
1928
Fouls
1517
Tackles
75% (18/24)61% (11/18)
Duels won
7462
Clearances
4319
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.122.75
Goals prevented
0.120.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Usami T. , Hummet D. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Hummet D. , Usami T. (A),
  • 27', Hummet D. 🟨,
  • 31', Suzuki T. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Yonemoto T. , Sugai H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yonemoto T. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 46', Matsuda T. , Okugawa M. ,
  • 56', Sato K. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 61', Fukuoka S. , Hirato T. ,
  • 66', Meshino R. , Kurata S. ,
  • 74', Usami T. , Juan Alano ,
  • 74', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,
  • 75', Jebali I. 🟨,
  • 78', Kawasaki S. , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 88', Yamashita R. , Kishimoto T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
40.6%
Draw
28.7%
Kyoto Sanga
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.6% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 28.9% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    3.28
    (3.32)
    3.07
    (3.12)
    6.2%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 1.
    • Recent matches Gamba Osaka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kyoto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Rafael Elias (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    03.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    08.07.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    24.05.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    15.04.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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