Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.80
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
98
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (304/364)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.60
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (304/364)
Long passes
41% (16/39)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
77% (140/181)75% (101/134)
Crosses
35% (7/20)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.77
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
108
Tackles
67% (6/9)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
2424
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.601.30
Goals prevented
1.60-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Kobayashi Y. , Ito T. (A),
  • 35', Hummet D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kobayashi Y. , Erison ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Hummet D. , Welton (A),
  • 65', Kurata S. , Yamashita R. ,
  • 66', Welton 🟨,
  • 70', Marcinho , Miyagi T. ,
  • 71', Ito T. , Ienaga A. ,
  • 79', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 79', Kawahara S. , Tachibanada K. ,
  • 82', Welton , Juan Alano ,
  • 82', Lavi N. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 89', Suzuki T. , Mito R. ,
  • 89', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
35.4%
Draw
27.6%
Kawasaki Frontale
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 27.6% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.59)
    3.42
    (3.38)
    2.55
    (2.56)
    6.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Kawasaki has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Meshino R. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    18.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    19.05.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:1
    06.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 3:4
    09.04.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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