Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.59
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
88% (616/700)81% (328/403)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.06
Total shots
137
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
4221
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
89
Passes
88% (616/700)81% (328/403)
Long passes
60% (25/42)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
81% (216/266)77% (82/107)
Crosses
13% (2/15)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.95
Fouls
98
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3944
Clearances Total
2530
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.060.61
Goals prevented
0.06-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Lavi N. 🟨,
  • 37', Jebali I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Inukai T. , Harada W. ,
  • 57', Jebali I. , Usami T. ,
  • 57', Juan Alano , Yamashita R. ,
  • 57', Harakawa R. , Yamada Y. ,
  • 64', Watai M. , Nakama H. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ,
  • 66', Lavi N. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 66', Mitsuta M. , Kurata S. ,
  • 77', Hummet D. , Minamino H. ,
  • 85', Koizumi Y. , Shirai E. ,
  • 85', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
37.4%
Draw
30.1%
Gamba Osaka
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.6% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.
  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.2)
    3.1
    (3.18)
    2.93
    (3.4)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 0:0
    16.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1
    16.07.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 3:1
    18.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    01.10.2022 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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