Degerfors vs GAIS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Degerfors - GAIS
Result
0:3
19/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 16
  • Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
Degerfors - GAIS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.04
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
82% (348/425)78% (308/395)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.621.13
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
82% (348/425)78% (308/395)
Long passes
42% (25/60)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
66% (81/123)62% (69/112)
Crosses
28% (8/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.86
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1015
Tackles
61% (11/18)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1837
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.130.62
Goals prevented
-0.870.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, de Brienne M. , Niklasson R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Pikkarainen J. (Own goal),
  • 55', Milovanovic W. , Ibrahim H. ,
  • 61', 0 - 3, Diabate I. ,
  • 64', Faraj O. , Fisic A. ,
  • 64', Barsoum E. , Pihlstrom E. ,
  • 65', Hien L. 🟨,
  • 72', Holmen K. , Aberg J. ,
  • 72', Niklasson R. , Becirovic E. ,
  • 72', Lindell E. , Salifu Z. ,
  • 72', Diaby M. , Heden A. ,
  • 74', Henriksson A. 🟨,
  • 84', Hien L. , Moro N. ,
  • 86', Henriksson A. , Thorkelsson R. ,
  • 86', Diabate I. , Bengtsson D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Degerfors
22.1%
Draw
25.2%
GAIS
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 26.2% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 25.7% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Degerfors - GAIS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.28
    (3.48)
    3.74
    (3.6)
    1.8
    (2.02)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Degerfors - GAIS?
  • Users Predictions: GAIS will win (57 of 61 users predict this - 93.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.23%99.65%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): GAIS will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 1.
    • Degerfors is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • GAIS is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in GAIS: Amatkarijo C. (Inactive) Ibrahim H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Degerfors: Kassi L. (Inactive) Morgado B. (Inactive)
    • We predict that GAIS will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - GAIS were as follows:
    13.04.2025 GAIS - Degerfors 2:0
    24.02.2024 Degerfors - GAIS 2:2
    09.02.2023 GAIS - Degerfors 1:0
    Latest results of Degerfors
    13.07.2025 AIK - Degerfors 3:0
    06.07.2025 Djurgården - Degerfors 5:1
    29.06.2025 Degerfors - Brommapojkarna 0:3
    31.05.2025 Degerfors - Öster 1:2
    26.05.2025 Hammarby - Degerfors 1:0
    Latest results of GAIS
    13.07.2025 GAIS - Hammarby 3:2
    05.07.2025 GAIS - Malmö 0:0
    29.06.2025 Häcken - GAIS 1:3
    31.05.2025 Norrköping - GAIS 0:3
    24.05.2025 GAIS - Sirius 2:1
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby19144138:152346
    2Hammarby19133336:162042
    3Elfsborg18112533:231035
    4AIK1997324:16834
    5Malmo FF1996429:171233
    6GAIS1888229:151432
    7Goteborg1891827:26128
    8Djurgarden1976622:19327
    9Brommapojkarna19721030:30023
    10Hacken1965826:33-723
    11Norrkoping19541029:37-819
    12Halmstad19531115:36-2118
    13Sirius19451024:31-717
    14Oster19361014:25-1115
    15Degerfors19431218:39-2115
    16Varnamo18151217:33-168

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Degerfors - GAIS?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play
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