Result
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : NPL Premier Division - Round 5
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Chances of winning
Gainsborough Trinity
51% | Draw
24.8% | Lancaster City
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gainsborough Trinity's performance.Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lancaster City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gainsborough Trinity that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lancaster City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.12) |
3.64 ↑
(3.5) |
3.76 ↑
(3.12) |
10.4%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Gainsborough is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gainsborough Trinity won against Lancaster City?
Gainsborough Trinity has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Gainsborough Trinity?
Lancaster City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City were as follows:
14.12.2024
Lancaster City
-
Gainsborough Trinity
1:2
07.09.2024
Gainsborough Trinity
-
Lancaster City
1:2
06.04.2024
Lancaster City
-
Gainsborough Trinity
2:1
04.11.2023
Gainsborough Trinity
-
Lancaster City
1:0
08.04.2023
Lancaster City
-
Gainsborough Trinity
1:2
Latest results of Gainsborough Trinity
Latest results of Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rushall | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Warrington Rylands | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | FC United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Hednesford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Cleethorpes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Whitby | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ashton Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Bamber Bridge | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Guiseley | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Ilkeston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Prescot | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Gainsborough | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Stockton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | Hyde | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Warrington | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Leek | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Stocksbridge | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Hebburn Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
| 21 | Workington | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
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