Sebastian Baez vs Gael Monfils: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Shanghai Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils
Result
1:2
04/10/2024 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals
Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
215
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
81%66%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (50/75)71% (45/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (5/18)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)33% (25/75)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)72% (13/18)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Winners
2236
Unforced Errors
4438
Net Points Won
79% (22/28)77% (10/13)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
59% (55/93)63% (60/95)
Return Points Won
37% (35/95)41% (38/93)
Total Points Won
48% (90/188)52% (98/188)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
29%
Gael Monfils
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
  • Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.57)

    1.35
    (1.42)
    4.9%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is Gael Monfils will win! (10 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 25. Monfils is ranked ATP: 46.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Monfils is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils were as follows:
    30.05.2023 Gael Monfils - Sebastian Baez 3:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Gael Monfils
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Gerasimov E. (Q)Daniel T.1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (PR)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    4ByeEtcheverry T. M. (31)
    5Fils A. (21)Bye
    6Bautista-Agut R.Carballes Baena R.1 : 2
    7Sonego L.Shapovalov D. (Q)0 : 2
    8ByeShelton B. (14)
    9Tsitsipas S. (10)Bye
    10Nishikori K. (WC)Navone M.2 : 1
    11Nardi L.Muller A.1 : 2
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (18)
    13Arnaldi M. (29)Bye
    14Mannarino A.Svajda Z. (Q)1 : 2
    15Seyboth Wild T.Evans D. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeMedvedev D. (5)
    17Alcaraz C. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    19Wu Y. (WC)Nagal S.2 : 0
    20ByeJarry N. (25)
    21Baez S. (22)Bye
    22Monfils G.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    23Cilic M. (PR)Cazaux A.0 : 2
    24ByeHumbert U. (16)
    25Paul T. (11)Bye
    26Fognini F.Darderi L.2 : 1
    27Opelka R. (PR)Rinderknech A.0 : 2
    28ByeTabilo A. (19)
    29Machac T. (30)Bye
    30Davidovich Fokina A.Diallo G. (Q)2 : 0
    31Vukic A. (Q)Moutet C.2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Rublev A. (6)Bye
    34Mensik J.Martinez P.2 : 1
    35Ramanathan R. (Q)Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    36ByeCerundolo F. (27)
    37Popyrin A. (20)Bye
    38Kecmanovic M.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    39Zhang Z.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeDimitrov G. (9)
    41Tiafoe F. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (RET.)Zhou Y. (WC)0 : 0
    43Zhukayev B. (Q)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    44ByeBublik A. (23)
    45Cobolli F. (28)Bye
    46Wawrinka S. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    47Michelsen A.Bu Y. (SE)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (7)Bye
    50Kovacevic A.Atmane T. (Q)0 : 2
    51Kotov P.Watanuki Y. (Q)1 : 2
    52ByeNakashima B. (32)
    53Lehecka J. (33)Bye
    54Munar J.Gaston H.2 : 0
    55O'Connell C.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (12)
    57Musetti L. (15)Bye
    58Goffin D.Duckworth J.2 : 0
    59Tu L. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
    60ByeKhachanov K. (24)
    61Thompson J. (26)Bye
    62Griekspoor T.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 1
    63Bellucci M. (Q)Harris B. (LL)2 : 0
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Daniel T.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Etcheverry T. M. (31)1 : 2
    3Fils A. (21)Carballes Baena R.0 : 2
    4Shapovalov D.Shelton B. (14)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (10)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    6Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (18)2 : 0
    7Arnaldi M. (29)Svajda Z.2 : 1
    8Seyboth Wild T.Medvedev D. (5)0 : 2
    9Alcaraz C. (3)Shang J.2 : 0
    10Wu Y.Jarry N. (25)2 : 0
    11Baez S. (22)Monfils G.1 : 2
    12Cazaux A.Humbert U. (16)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (11)Fognini F.2 : 0
    14Rinderknech A.Tabilo A. (19)0 : 2
    15Machac T. (30)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 1
    16Vukic A.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    17Rublev A. (6)Mensik J.1 : 2
    18Shevchenko A.Cerundolo F. (27)2 : 0
    19Popyrin A. (20)Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Dimitrov G. (9)1 : 2
    21Tiafoe F. (13)Zhou Y.2 : 0
    22Safiullin R.Bublik A. (23)2 : 0
    23Cobolli F. (28)Wawrinka S.2 : 1
    24Michelsen A.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (7)Atmane T.2 : 0
    26Watanuki Y.Nakashima B. (32)2 : 0
    27Lehecka J. (33)Munar J.2 : 0
    28Berrettini M.Rune H. (12)1 : 2
    29Musetti L. (15)Goffin D.1 : 2
    30Giron M.Khachanov K. (24)2 : 0
    31Thompson J. (26)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    32Bellucci M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (31)2 : 1
    2Carballes Baena R.Shelton B. (14)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (10)Muller A.2 : 0
    4Arnaldi M. (29)Medvedev D. (5)1 : 2
    5Alcaraz C. (3)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Monfils G.Humbert U. (16)2 : 1
    7Paul T. (11)Tabilo A. (19)2 : 1
    8Machac T. (30)Vukic A.2 : 0
    9Mensik J.Shevchenko A.2 : 1
    10Popyrin A. (20)Dimitrov G. (9)0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (13)Safiullin R.1 : 2
    12Cobolli F. (28)Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    13Fritz T. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 0
    14Lehecka J. (33)Rune H. (12)0 : 2
    15Goffin D.Giron M.2 : 1
    16Griekspoor T.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Shelton B. (14)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (10)Medvedev D. (5)0 : 2
    3Alcaraz C. (3)Monfils G.2 : 0
    4Paul T. (11)Machac T. (30)1 : 2
    5Mensik J.Dimitrov G. (9)2 : 1
    6Safiullin R.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    7Fritz T. (7)Rune H. (12)2 : 0
    8Goffin D.Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Medvedev D. (5)2 : 0
    2Alcaraz C. (3)Machac T. (30)0 : 2
    3Mensik J.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    4Fritz T. (7)Goffin D.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Machac T. (30)2 : 0
    2Djokovic N. (4)Fritz T. (7)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Djokovic N. (4)2 : 0
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