Sebastian Baez vs Gael Monfils: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Shanghai Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils
Result
1:2
04/10/2024 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals
Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
215
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
81%66%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (50/75)71% (45/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (5/18)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)33% (25/75)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)72% (13/18)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Winners
2236
Unforced Errors
4438
Net Points Won
79% (22/28)77% (10/13)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
59% (55/93)63% (60/95)
Return Points Won
37% (35/95)41% (38/93)
Total Points Won
48% (90/188)52% (98/188)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
29%
Gael Monfils
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
  • Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.57)

    1.35
    (1.42)
    4.9%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Monfils will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 73.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 25. Monfils is ranked ATP: 46.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Monfils is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils were as follows:
    30.05.2023 Gael Monfils - Sebastian Baez 3:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Gael Monfils
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeVukic A. (LL)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.1 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)1 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.0 : 2
    6Borges N.Vukic A.2 : 0
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)2 : 0
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)2 : 1
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.2 : 0
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (RET.) (11)1 : 1
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)2 : 0
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Tien L.Norrie C. (30)2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    3Shang J.Borges N.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    5Zverev A. (3)Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    6Shapovalov D. (23)Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (12)De Jong J.2 : 0
    8Darderi L. (26)Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    9Goffin D. (RET.)Diallo G. (31)0 : 0
    10Cerundolo F. (19)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    11Nishioka Y.Munar J.1 : 2
    12Hanfmann Y.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    13Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    15Vacherot V.Machac T. (RET.) (20)1 : 0
    16Griekspoor T. (27)Sinner J. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Tien L.Medvedev D. (16)1 : 2
    2Borges N.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Lehecka J. (15)2 : 0
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0
    5Diallo G. (31)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    6Munar J.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    7Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)Rune H. (10)1 : 2
    8Vacherot V.Griekspoor T. (27)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Medvedev D. (16)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0
    2Rinderknech A.Auger-Aliassime F. (12)2 : 0
    3Bergs Z.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    4Rune H. (10)Vacherot V.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Medvedev D. (16)Rinderknech A.
    2Djokovic N. (4)Vacherot V.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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