Fulham vs Middlesbrough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English FA Cup Fulham - Middlesbrough
Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Fulham - Middlesbrough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.210.78
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
93
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
33
Passes
90% (563/629)86% (425/492)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.210.78
xG on target (xGOT)
3.721.07
Total shots
197
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
81
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
89
Passes
90% (563/629)86% (425/492)
Long passes
58% (25/43)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
83% (133/160)69% (74/107)
Crosses
39% (7/18)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.52
Throw ins
178
Fouls
98
Tackles
61% (11/18)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
817
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.073.72
Goals prevented
0.070.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Gilbert A. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Hackney H. , Silvera S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Kusi Asare J. , Jimenez R. ,
  • 56', Reed H. , Cairney T. ,
  • 56', Traore A. , Wilson H. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Wilson H. , Kevin (A),
  • 63', Conway T. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 66', Sessegnon R. , Robinson A. ,
  • 68', Burgzorg D. 🟨,
  • 72', Cuenca J. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Smith Rowe E. , Cairney T. (A),
  • 80', Whittaker M. , Ibeh C. ,
  • 80', Ayling L. , Fry D. ,
  • 81', Hackney H. , Nypan S. ,
  • 86', Smith Rowe E. , Berge S. ,
  • 86', Targett M. , Hansen S. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Kevin , Wilson H. (A),

Chances of winning


Fulham
50%
Draw
26.9%
Middlesbrough
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 23.5% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.7% 17.3%

Fulham - Middlesbrough Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(1.6)
3.5
(3.99)
4.13
(5.24)
6.1%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fulham - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fulham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fulham (votes: 2 - 40%). Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 3.
  • Fulham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Middlesbrough is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Fulham is considered a favorite.
  • We predict that Fulham will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
  • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Latest results of Fulham
07.01.2026 Fulham - Chelsea 2:1
04.01.2026 Fulham - Liverpool 2:2
01.01.2026 Crystal Palace - Fulham 1:1
27.12.2025 West Ham United - Fulham 0:1
22.12.2025 Fulham - Nottingham Forest 1:0
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Draw
Main

1/128-finals
1LiverpoolBye
3PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
4BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
5Manchester UtdBye
8ByeBrighton
9StokeBye
12ByeCoventry
13FulhamBye
16ByeMiddlesbrough
17ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
18OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
20ByeOxford Utd
21EvertonBye
24ByeSunderland
25StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
26CreweDoncaster1 : 2
28ByeSouthampton
29CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
30BuxtonChatham2 : 1
32ByeLeicester
33WrexhamBye
36ByeNottingham
37IpswichBye
39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
41PortsmouthBye
44ByeArsenal
45PrestonBye
47WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
48SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
49HullBye
52ByeBlackburn
53CharltonBye
56ByeChelsea
57Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
58NewportGillingham3 : 2
59Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
60BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
61West HamBye
64ByeQPR
65BurnleyBye
68ByeMillwall
69Sheffield UtdBye
71GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
72MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
73NorwichBye
75AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
76EastleighWalsall0 : 3
77SwanseaBye
80ByeWest Brom
81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
84LutonForest Green4 : 3
85Bristol CityBye
88ByeWatford
89GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
90WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
91ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
92Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
93WolvesBye
95SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
96South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
97TottenhamBye
100ByeAston Villa
101NewcastleBye
104ByeBournemouth
105Manchester CityBye
107FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
108WycombePlymouth2 : 0
109SalfordLincoln2 : 1
110TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
111RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
112BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
113SloughAltrincham2 : 1
114MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
116ByeCrystal Palace
117Sheffield WedBye
120ByeBrentford
121TranmereStockport County1 : 3
122Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
124ByeBirmingham
125DerbyBye
128ByeLeeds

1/64-finals
1LiverpoolBye
2PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
3Manchester UtdBye
4ByeBrighton
5StokeBye
6ByeCoventry
7FulhamBye
8ByeMiddlesbrough
9MK DonsOldham3 : 1
10ByeOxford Utd
11EvertonBye
12ByeSunderland
13ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
14ByeSouthampton
15CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
16ByeLeicester
17WrexhamBye
18ByeNottingham
19IpswichBye
20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
21PortsmouthBye
22ByeArsenal
23PrestonBye
24WiganBarrow3 : 2
25HullBye
26ByeBlackburn
27CharltonBye
28ByeChelsea
29Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
30Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
31West HamBye
32ByeQPR
33BurnleyBye
34ByeMillwall
35Sheffield UtdBye
36AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
37NorwichBye
38GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
39SwanseaBye
40ByeWest Brom
41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
43Bristol CityBye
44ByeWatford
45GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
46ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
47WolvesBye
48SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
49TottenhamBye
50ByeAston Villa
51NewcastleBye
52ByeBournemouth
53Manchester CityBye
54ExeterWycombe4 : 0
55SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
56SwindonBolton4 : 0
57SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
58ByeCrystal Palace
59Sheffield WedBye
60ByeBrentford
61Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
62ByeBirmingham
63DerbyBye
64ByeLeeds

1/32-finals
1LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
2Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
3StokeCoventry1 : 0
4FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
5MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
6EvertonSunderland1 : 2
7DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
8CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
11PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
12PrestonWigan0 : 1
13HullBlackburn1 : 0
14CharltonChelsea1 : 5
15Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
16West HamQPR2 : 1
17BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
18Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
19NorwichWalsall5 : 1
20SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
23GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
24WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
25TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
26NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
27Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
28SalfordSwindon3 : 2
29MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
30Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
31Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
32DerbyLeeds1 : 3

1/16-finals
1LiverpoolBrighton
2StokeFulham
3Oxford UtdSunderland
4SouthamptonLeicester
5WrexhamIpswich
6ArsenalWigan
7HullChelsea
8BurtonWest Ham
9BurnleyMansfield
10NorwichWest Brom
11Port ValeBristol City
12GrimsbyWolves
13Aston VillaNewcastle
14Manchester CitySalford
15MacclesfieldBrentford
16BirminghamLeeds
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