Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Result
4:2
08/06/2025 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPB
Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
57
Errors
01
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
42
Base on Balls
42
Strikeouts
98
Stolen bases
01
At bat
2433
Batting Average
0.2080.212

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
38.4%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.45)

    1.54
    (1.56)
    5.1%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 84:88. (average 4.2:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 4.3:5.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 1:8
    06.06.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 3:2
    05.03.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 3:1
    04.03.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 3:4
    13.06.2024 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 6:3
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers11469342391:2630.622
    2Yomiuri Giants11456355356:3360.505
    3Yokohama BayStars11352556369:3580.481
    4Hiroshima Carp11349559348:3720.454
    5Chunichi Dragons11350261309:3480.450
    6Yakult Swallows10940663307:4400.388


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks11368441426:3070.624
    2Nippon Ham Fighters11469243436:3110.616
    3Orix Buffaloes11156352392:4120.519
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles11253257352:3990.482
    5Seibu Lions11251259298:3310.464
    6Chiba Lotte Marines11041366328:4350.383

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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