Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball NPB Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Result
1:4
28/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPB
Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
312
Errors
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
14
Base on Balls
43
Strikeouts
1014
Stolen bases
11
At bat
2737
Batting Average
0.1110.324

Chances of winning


Saitama Seibu Lions
49.5%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saitama Seibu Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Saitama Seibu Lions aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks aligns with the current prediction.
  • Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.04)

    1.97
    (1.82)
    4.2%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 1.
    • Recent form of Saitama has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 43:82. (average 2.2:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saitama won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:42. (average 1.8:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 1:4
    17.09.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Saitama Seibu Lions 11:8
    20.08.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Saitama Seibu Lions 5:4
    19.08.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Saitama Seibu Lions 5:2
    14.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hanshin Tigers (1)Bye
    2Yokohama BayStars (2)Yomiuri Giants (3)1 : 0
    3Fukuoka S. Hawks (1)Bye
    4Nippon Ham Fighters (2)Orix Buffaloes (3)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hanshin Tigers (1)TBD #2
    2Fukuoka S. Hawks (1)TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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