Mainz vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Mainz - Freiburg
Result
2:2
15/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Mainz - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.65
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
924
Shots on Goal
48
Shots off Goal
410
Blocked Shots
16
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
14
Shots inside the Box
620
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Free Kicks
77
Offsides
01
Fouls
77
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
1924
Touches in the Opposition Box
2243
Passes
76% (287/378)81% (372/458)
Passes in the final third
64% (70/109)74% (133/179)
Crosses
20% (3/15)37% (13/35)
Tackles
43% (3/7)71% (5/7)
Clearances Total
3724
Interceptions
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Adamu J. 🟨,
  • 28', Mwene P. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Burkardt J. , Caci A. (A),
  • 43', Kohr D. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Adamu J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 46', Mwene P. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Gregoritsch M. , Gunter C. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Hanche-Olsen A. , Caci A. (A),
  • 76', Eggestein M. , Hofler N. ,
  • 76', Sildillia K. , Kubler L. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Kubler L. , Doan R. (A),
  • 86', Grifo V. , Beste J. ,
  • 87', Holer L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz 49.2%Draw 28%Freiburg 22.8%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Mainz 47.9%Draw 28%Freiburg 24.1%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Mainz 50.2%Draw 29.3%Freiburg 23%

Mainz - Freiburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.96
(1.99)
3.43
(3.41)
4.23
(3.96)
3.7%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - Freiburg?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Mainz will win! (27 of 29 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 0.
    • Mainz in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Freiburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Mainz is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Mainz won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:23 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
    How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Freiburg?
    Mainz has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Mainz?
    Freiburg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Freiburg were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Freiburg - Mainz 0:0
    21.04.2024 Freiburg - Mainz 1:1
    03.12.2023 Mainz - Freiburg 0:1
    19.03.2023 Mainz - Freiburg 1:1
    01.10.2022 Freiburg - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0
    21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    08.02.2025 Freiburg - Heidenheim 1:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 27205278:265265
    2Bayer Leverkusen27178262:342859
    3Eintracht Frankfurt27146755:401548
    4Mainz27136845:311445
    5B. Monchengladbach271341044:40443
    6RB Leipzig27119741:34742
    7Freiburg27126937:40-342
    8Augsburg27109830:36-639
    9Wolfsburg27108949:41838
    10Dortmund271151148:42638
    11Stuttgart271071047:44337
    12Werder Bremen271061143:53-1036
    13Union Berlin27861325:40-1530
    14Hoffenheim27691233:49-1627
    15St. Pauli27741622:33-1125
    16Heidenheim27641732:52-2022
    17Bochum27551728:55-2720
    18Holstein Kiel27451838:67-2917

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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